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Stadium Background

Cayeli SK vs Pazarspor

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

74' Event
Akgun E.

AI Match Summary

Pazarspor in this 3. Lig Group 3 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pazarspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Cayeli SK
30%
Draws
37%
Pazarspor
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pazarspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Medium Confidence
  • Cayeli SK haven't matched Pazarspor's recent run of results.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 3 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Cayeli SK Clean Sheet 22%
Pazarspor Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cayeli SK Pazarspor
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 5 11
Draws 9 10
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 0.75 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 10, 2026 3. Lig Group 3
Cayeli SK vs Pazarspor
0:1
Sep 7, 2025 3. Lig Group 3
Pazarspor vs Cayeli SK
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cayeli SK Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Pazarspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Akgun E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cayeli SK 37 / 100
Pazarspor 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cayeli SK Pazarspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAZ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Pazarspor conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Cayeli SK has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Cayeli SK scored in 58% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cayeli SK VS Pazarspor
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cayeli SK

(Home)
18 Apr
Fatsa Bld.
5 : 1
Cayeli SK
12 Apr
Cayeli SK
3 : 2
Hopaspor
05 Apr
Karadeniz Eregli
1 : 0
Cayeli SK
28 Mar
Cayeli SK
0 : 0
Sebat Spor Kulubu
24 Mar
Orduspor 1967
1 : 3
Cayeli SK
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Pazarspor

(Away)
18 Apr
Pazarspor
1 : 0
Amasyaspor
12 Apr
Karabuk Idmanyurdu
0 : 1
Pazarspor
05 Apr
Pazarspor
3 : 3
Zonguldak Komurspor
29 Mar
Duzcespor
1 : 0
Pazarspor
25 Mar
Pazarspor
0 : 0
Tokat Bld Plevnespor
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sebat Spor Kulubu 30 20 7 3 56:23 67
2 52 Orduspor 30 18 4 8 68:30 58
3 Karadeniz Eregli 30 16 9 5 44:29 57
4 Yozgat 30 17 6 7 58:27 57
5 Fatsa Bld. 30 15 4 11 40:32 49
6 Zonguldak Komurspor 30 13 7 10 48:30 46
7 Pazarspor 30 11 10 9 29:31 43
8 Karabuk Idmanyurdu 30 12 5 13 32:47 41
9 Duzcespor 30 11 7 12 30:36 40
10 Tokat Bld Plevnespor 30 10 6 14 31:38 36
11 Orduspor 1967 30 9 7 14 35:51 34
12 Amasyaspor 30 9 6 15 28:40 33
13 Hopaspor 30 9 5 16 38:50 32
14 Bulancakspor 30 8 5 17 30:60 29
15 Cayeli SK 30 5 9 16 25:46 24
16 Giresunspor 30 4 9 17 21:43 21
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)