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Cayman Islands vs British Virgin Islands

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League
Our Tip

Match Events

69' Event
Douglas D.
Assist: Scott Z.

AI Match Summary

The CONCACAF Nations League game between Cayman Islands and British Virgin Islands finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cayman Islands.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Cayman Islands
11%
Draws
80%
British Virgin Islands
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: British Virgin Islands

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cayman Islands come out ahead of British Virgin Islands on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans British Virgin Islands's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular CONCACAF Nations League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Cayman Islands Clean Sheet 13%
British Virgin Islands Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cayman Islands British Virgin Islands
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 8 6
Draws 6 8
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 0.88 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2026 CONCACAF Series
Cayman Islands vs British Virgin Islands
1:1
Nov 13, 2025 CONCACAF Series
Cayman Islands vs British Virgin Islands
1:2
Oct 12, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Cayman Islands vs British Virgin Islands
1:0
Sep 4, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
British Virgin Islands vs Cayman Islands
0:1
Jun 6, 2022 CONCACAF Nations League
Cayman Islands vs British Virgin Islands
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cayman Islands Compare

Top Goalscorer Douglas D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

British Virgin Islands Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cayman Islands 11 / 100
British Virgin Islands 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cayman Islands British Virgin Islands

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BRI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

British Virgin Islands has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Cayman Islands scored in 66% of their last 32 games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Cayman Islands went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cayman Islands VS British Virgin Islands
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cayman Islands

(Home)
06 Jun
Gibraltar
4 : 1
Cayman Islands
30 Mar
Cayman Islands
1 : 0
Bahamas
27 Mar
Cayman Islands
1 : 1
British Virgin Islands
16 Nov
Cayman Islands
4 : 0
Anguilla
13 Nov
Cayman Islands
1 : 2
British Virgin Islands
Page 1 of 7

British Virgin Islands

(Away)
06 Jun
British Virgin Islands
2 : 0
Bonaire
03 Jun
Gibraltar
4 : 0
British Virgin Islands
29 Mar
British Virgin Islands
4 : 0
Anguilla
27 Mar
Cayman Islands
1 : 1
British Virgin Islands
15 Nov
Bahamas
0 : 6
British Virgin Islands
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Barbados440017:412
2Bahamas411210:134
3United States Virgin Islands40134:141
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League (League B)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Belize44009:012
2Anguilla41033:43
3Turks and Caicos Islands41032:103
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League (League B)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Saint Kitts and Nevis431010:310
2Cayman Islands42114:57
3British Virgin Islands40041:70
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League (League B)
Ranking of third-placed teams