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Cayman Islands vs British Virgin Islands

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

69' Event
Douglas D.
Assist: Scott Z.

AI Match Summary

The CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 game between Cayman Islands and British Virgin Islands finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cayman Islands.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Cayman Islands
30%
Draws
33%
British Virgin Islands
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cayman Islands

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Cayman Islands have managed 0.89 goals a game lately — British Virgin Islands are scoring more at 1.1.
  • Win probability leans Cayman Islands's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Cayman Islands Clean Sheet 68%
British Virgin Islands Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cayman Islands British Virgin Islands
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 6 6
Draws 7 8
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 0.89 1.1
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2026 CONCACAF Series
Cayman Islands vs British Virgin Islands
1:1
Nov 13, 2025 CONCACAF Series
Cayman Islands vs British Virgin Islands
1:2
Oct 12, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Cayman Islands vs British Virgin Islands
1:0
Sep 4, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
British Virgin Islands vs Cayman Islands
0:1
Jun 6, 2022 CONCACAF Nations League
Cayman Islands vs British Virgin Islands
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cayman Islands Compare

Top Goalscorer Douglas D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

British Virgin Islands Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cayman Islands 59 / 100
British Virgin Islands 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cayman Islands British Virgin Islands

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cayman Islands Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

British Virgin Islands has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Cayman Islands scored in 70% of their last 27 games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Cayman Islands went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cayman Islands VS British Virgin Islands
1 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cayman Islands

(Home)
25 Sept
Cayman Islands
0 : 0
Dominica
06 Jun
Gibraltar
4 : 1
Cayman Islands
30 Mar
Cayman Islands
1 : 0
Bahamas
27 Mar
Cayman Islands
1 : 1
British Virgin Islands
16 Nov
Cayman Islands
4 : 0
Anguilla
Page 1 of 6

British Virgin Islands

(Away)
26 Sept
Montserrat
3 : 0
British Virgin Islands
06 Jun
British Virgin Islands
2 : 0
Bonaire
03 Jun
Gibraltar
4 : 0
British Virgin Islands
29 Mar
British Virgin Islands
4 : 0
Anguilla
27 Mar
Cayman Islands
1 : 1
British Virgin Islands
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barbados 4 4 0 0 17:4 12
2 Bahamas 4 1 1 2 10:13 4
3 United States Virgin Islands 4 0 1 3 4:14 1
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League B)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belize 4 4 0 0 9:0 12
2 Anguilla 4 1 0 3 3:4 3
3 Turks and Caicos Islands 4 1 0 3 2:10 3
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League B)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saint Kitts and Nevis 4 3 1 0 10:3 10
2 Cayman Islands 4 2 1 1 4:5 7
3 British Virgin Islands 4 0 0 4 1:7 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League B)
Ranking of third-placed teams