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Cayman Islands vs Guadeloupe

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 Truman Bodden Stadium, George Town
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Mirval R.
Assist: Baron A.
23'
Nunez C.
37' Event
Leborgne J.
Assist: Mirval R.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-6, with Guadeloupe advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Cayman Islands
20%
Draws
44%
Guadeloupe
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Guadeloupe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Cayman Islands haven't matched Guadeloupe's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Guadeloupe arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Guadeloupe, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Guadeloupe have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Cayman Islands Clean Sheet 17%
Guadeloupe Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cayman Islands Guadeloupe
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 6 14
Draws 7 2
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 0.86 1.85
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 19, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Guadeloupe vs Cayman Islands
1:0
Nov 15, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Cayman Islands vs Guadeloupe
0:6
Oct 11, 2008 Caribbean Cup
Guadeloupe vs Cayman Islands
7:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cayman Islands Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Guadeloupe Compare

Top Goalscorer Mirval R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Leborgne J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cayman Islands 36 / 100
Guadeloupe 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cayman Islands Guadeloupe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guadeloupe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Cayman Islands scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Cayman Islands went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Guadeloupe lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cayman Islands VS Guadeloupe
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cayman Islands

(Home)
27 Sept
Guyana
2 : 0
Cayman Islands
25 Sept
Cayman Islands
0 : 0
Dominica
06 Jun
Gibraltar
4 : 1
Cayman Islands
30 Mar
Cayman Islands
1 : 0
Bahamas
27 Mar
Cayman Islands
1 : 1
British Virgin Islands
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Guadeloupe

(Away)
25 Sept
Bermuda
1 : 2
Guadeloupe
24 Jun
Guadeloupe
2 : 3
Guatemala
20 Jun
Jamaica
2 : 1
Guadeloupe
16 Jun
Panama
5 : 2
Guadeloupe
26 Mar
Nicaragua
0 : 1
Guadeloupe
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Guadeloupe 7
Cayman Islands 0
Cuba 5
Saint Kitts and Nevis 2
French Guiana 3
Belize 4
Guyana 9
Barbados 4