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Cayon CD vs CD Montanas del Pas

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Cagigas C.
25' Event
Fernandez R.
44' Event
Laredo Abascal J.

AI Match Summary

Cayon CD in this Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 6-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cayon CD.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Cayon CD
30%
Draws
33%
CD Montanas del Pas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cayon CD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cayon CD lately — more wins on the board than CD Montanas del Pas.
  • Win probability leans Cayon CD's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Cayon CD Clean Sheet 68%
CD Montanas del Pas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cayon CD CD Montanas del Pas
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 6
Draws 4 7
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.45 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.17 2.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.92 1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Cayon CD vs CD Montanas del Pas
6:1
Sep 13, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Montanas del Pas vs Cayon CD
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cayon CD Compare

Top Goalscorer Ortiz D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Cagigas C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.96

CD Montanas del Pas Compare

Top Goalscorer Revuelta V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cayon CD 77 / 100
CD Montanas del Pas 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cayon CD CD Montanas del Pas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cayon CD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Montanas del Pas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Cayon CD scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Cayon CD has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cayon CD VS CD Montanas del Pas
2 Goals Scored 1.33
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.83
88% Over 1.5 83%
63% Over 2.5 17%
50% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Cayon CD

(Home)
27 Sept
Cayon CD
1 : 1
UD Samano
19 Sept
Atletico Mineros
0 : 2
Cayon CD
12 Sept
Guarnizo
0 : 1
Cayon CD
05 Sept
Cayon CD
0 : 1
Vimenor
29 Aug
CD Revilla
0 : 0
Cayon CD
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CD Montanas del Pas

(Away)
09 May
CD Montanas del Pas
3 : 7
UM Escobedo
03 May
Vimenor
2 : 0
CD Montanas del Pas
25 Apr
CD Montanas del Pas
2 : 0
CD Tropezon
18 Apr
UC Cartes
0 : 1
CD Montanas del Pas
11 Apr
CD Montanas del Pas
1 : 1
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 34 26 5 3 86:15 83
2 CD Laredo 34 21 8 5 63:28 71
3 CD Tropezon 34 21 4 9 50:27 67
4 Guarnizo 34 19 9 6 47:26 66
5 UM Escobedo 34 21 2 11 65:43 65
6 Vimenor 34 17 8 9 47:36 59
7 Atletico Albericia 34 17 5 12 61:45 56
8 Cayon CD 34 17 5 12 50:41 56
9 Torina 34 15 8 11 39:40 53
10 Bezana 34 13 8 13 43:38 47
11 Castro 34 10 8 16 44:47 38
12 Selaya 34 8 8 18 32:44 32
13 CD Revilla 34 8 7 19 35:63 31
14 CD Barquereno 34 8 6 20 37:64 30
15 UC Cartes 34 6 10 18 28:52 28
16 CD Colindres 34 6 10 18 27:47 28
17 CD Montanas del Pas 34 6 8 20 35:87 26
18 SD Noja 34 4 7 23 22:68 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 (Play Offs)