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Cayon CD vs CD Monte

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Zorrilla Reigadas A.
56' Event
Alvarez C.
71' Event
Prada A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025 game between Cayon CD and CD Monte finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cayon CD.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Cayon CD
15%
Draws
20%
CD Monte
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cayon CD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Cayon CD carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Cayon CD's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Cayon CD Clean Sheet 68%
CD Monte Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cayon CD CD Monte
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 17 4
Draws 5 4
Losses 11 22
Goals Scored 1.42 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.12 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Cayon CD vs CD Monte
2:1
Dec 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Monte vs Cayon CD
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cayon CD Compare

Top Goalscorer Zorrilla Reigadas A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alvarez C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

CD Monte Compare

Top Goalscorer Prada A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cayon CD 95 / 100
CD Monte 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cayon CD CD Monte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cayon CD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Monte has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Cayon CD's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Solid form: Cayon CD remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cayon CD VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cayon CD

(Home)
12 Sept
Guarnizo
0 : 1
Cayon CD
05 Sept
Cayon CD
0 : 1
Vimenor
29 Aug
CD Revilla
0 : 0
Cayon CD
26 Aug
Cayon CD
4 : 1
Bansander
21 Aug
Selaya
0 : 3
Cayon CD
Page 1 of 7

CD Monte

(Away)
10 May
CD Monte
1 : 2
Atletico Mineros
04 May
Vimenor
4 : 1
CD Monte
27 Apr
Cayon CD
2 : 1
CD Monte
16 Apr
CD Monte
4 : 2
CD Barquereno
12 Apr
Bezana
1 : 0
CD Monte
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Samano 34 20 10 4 52:22 70
2 CD Tropezon 34 20 7 7 58:30 67
3 Atletico Albericia 34 19 7 8 64:39 64
4 Cayon CD 34 19 5 10 61:41 62
5 Castro 34 16 11 7 45:26 59
6 Vimenor 34 17 6 11 63:42 57
7 Bezana 34 15 9 10 46:41 54
8 Torina 34 14 8 12 49:44 50
9 CD Barquereno 34 13 10 11 60:59 49
10 Guarnizo 34 11 15 8 44:37 48
11 CD Revilla 34 12 6 16 46:53 42
12 CD Colindres 34 9 9 16 36:53 36
13 Gama 34 9 9 16 34:56 36
14 Atletico Mineros 34 9 8 17 33:58 35
15 Barreda Balompie 34 8 10 16 49:65 34
16 Naval Reinosa 34 9 6 19 40:59 33
17 CD Siete Villas 34 7 7 20 29:53 28
18 CD Monte 34 5 5 24 33:64 20
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025 (Play Offs)