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Cayon CD vs Pontejos

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Tercera Division - Group 3 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 3 2012/2013 game between Cayon CD and Pontejos finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cayon CD.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Cayon CD
15%
Draws
34%
Pontejos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cayon CD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cayon CD come out ahead of Pontejos on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Cayon CD taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Cayon CD have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Cayon CD Clean Sheet 20%
Pontejos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cayon CD Pontejos
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 17 7
Draws 4 5
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 1.52 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Cayon CD vs Pontejos
1:0
Sep 29, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Pontejos vs Cayon CD
0:1
Jan 13, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Cayon CD vs Pontejos
3:0
Aug 26, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Pontejos vs Cayon CD
0:2
Apr 28, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Pontejos vs Cayon CD
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cayon CD 40 / 100
Pontejos 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cayon CD Pontejos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cayon CD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Pontejos conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Cayon CD found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Cayon CD has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cayon CD VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cayon CD

(Home)
09 May
Cayon CD
3 : 1
Vimenor
03 May
CD Tropezon
3 : 1
Cayon CD
26 Apr
Cayon CD
3 : 2
UC Cartes
19 Apr
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
2 : 0
Cayon CD
12 Apr
Cayon CD
2 : 0
CD Revilla
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Pontejos

(Away)
11 May
Barreda Balompie
4 : 2
Pontejos
04 May
Pontejos
3 : 0
Guarnizo
26 Apr
Ribamontan al Mar
1 : 2
Pontejos
20 Apr
Pontejos
0 : 1
Gama
17 Apr
Castro
4 : 0
Pontejos
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Tropezon 38 25 8 5 87:32 83
2 Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive) 38 25 8 5 76:27 83
3 Cayon CD 38 20 13 5 50:22 73
4 CD Laredo 38 18 14 6 54:30 68
5 Castro 38 20 8 10 52:33 68
6 Vimenor 38 17 10 11 53:43 61
7 Barreda Balompie 38 17 9 12 50:44 60
8 Santona 38 16 10 12 53:51 58
9 CD Siete Villas 38 15 8 15 48:49 53
10 Guarnizo 38 13 13 12 45:41 52
11 UM Escobedo 38 14 9 15 67:54 51
12 Gama 38 15 5 18 35:42 50
13 Bezana 38 11 14 13 42:47 47
14 Atletico Albericia 38 12 11 15 50:51 47
15 Pontejos 38 13 8 17 45:55 47
16 Ribamontan al Mar 38 11 12 15 42:51 45
17 Deportiva Santillana 38 9 9 20 43:65 36
18 Textil Escudo 38 8 6 24 35:69 30
19 Escuela Meruelo 38 5 7 26 33:85 22
20 San Martin Arena 38 2 6 30 16:85 12
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)