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Cayon CD vs Santona - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 3 2013/2014
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 3 2013/2014 game between Cayon CD and Santona finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cayon CD.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Cayon CD
30%
Draws
12%
Santona
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cayon CD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cayon CD come out ahead of Santona on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Cayon CD's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 3 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Cayon CD Clean Sheet 20%
Santona Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cayon CD Santona
Matches Played 43 31
Wins 27 7
Draws 5 8
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.65 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Cayon CD vs Santona
2:0
Oct 19, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Santona vs Cayon CD
0:0
Apr 13, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Cayon CD vs Santona
3:0
Nov 24, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Santona vs Cayon CD
2:0
Feb 3, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Santona vs Cayon CD
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cayon CD 85 / 100
Santona 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cayon CD Santona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cayon CD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santona has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Cayon CD scored in 77% of their last 43 games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Cayon CD remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cayon CD VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cayon CD

(Home)
03 Oct
Velarde
0 : 1
Cayon CD
27 Sept
Cayon CD
1 : 1
UD Samano
19 Sept
Atletico Mineros
0 : 2
Cayon CD
12 Sept
Guarnizo
0 : 1
Cayon CD
05 Sept
Cayon CD
0 : 1
Vimenor
Page 1 of 9

Santona

(Away)
17 May
Rayo Cantabria
1 : 0
Santona
10 May
Santona
2 : 2
Barreda Balompie
02 May
Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive)
3 : 1
Santona
29 Apr
Santona
0 : 1
Atletico Albericia
26 Apr
CD Revilla
2 : 2
Santona
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 38 27 8 3 82:18 89
2 CD Laredo 38 23 8 7 71:31 77
3 Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive) 38 21 9 8 60:37 72
4 UM Escobedo 38 19 14 5 50:30 71
5 CD Siete Villas 38 16 13 9 60:44 61
6 Cayon CD 38 18 7 13 46:36 61
7 Gama 38 16 10 12 44:34 58
8 Rayo Cantabria 38 14 12 12 52:39 54
9 Atletico Albericia 38 15 9 14 38:44 54
10 Buelna 38 14 11 13 46:46 53
11 Vimenor 38 11 18 9 49:48 51
12 Bezana 38 13 11 14 49:54 50
13 CD Colindres 38 12 10 16 43:59 46
14 Castro 38 12 6 20 47:63 42
15 Selaya 38 10 11 17 39:57 41
16 Barreda Balompie 38 11 8 19 48:67 41
17 Santona 38 11 8 19 42:59 41
18 Pontejos 38 10 7 21 47:78 37
19 Guarnizo 38 6 5 27 42:78 23
20 Ribamontan al Mar 38 3 11 24 31:64 20
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)