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Cayon CD vs UC Cartes

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Alonso A.
37' Event
Gonzalez K. G.
74' Event
Acosta A.

AI Match Summary

Cayon CD in this Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cayon CD.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Cayon CD
20%
Draws
11%
UC Cartes
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cayon CD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Cayon CD have won more games recently than UC Cartes.
  • 69% — that's where the model lands on Cayon CD taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Cayon CD Clean Sheet 20%
UC Cartes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cayon CD UC Cartes
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 5
Draws 3 9
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.55 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Cayon CD vs UC Cartes
3:2
Dec 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
UC Cartes vs Cayon CD
0:0
Mar 18, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
UC Cartes vs Cayon CD
1:1
Nov 20, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Cayon CD vs UC Cartes
2:0
Oct 10, 2020 Club Friendly
Cayon CD vs UC Cartes
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cayon CD Compare

Top Goalscorer Alonso A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Diaz Recio A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

UC Cartes Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez K. G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Acosta A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cayon CD 85 / 100
UC Cartes 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cayon CD UC Cartes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cayon CD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cayon CD scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: UC Cartes conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Cayon CD stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cayon CD VS UC Cartes
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cayon CD

(Home)
26 Aug
Cayon CD
4 : 1
Bansander
21 Aug
Selaya
0 : 3
Cayon CD
09 May
Cayon CD
3 : 1
Vimenor
03 May
CD Tropezon
3 : 1
Cayon CD
26 Apr
Cayon CD
3 : 2
UC Cartes
Page 1 of 6

UC Cartes

(Away)
09 May
SD Noja
2 : 2
UC Cartes
03 May
UC Cartes
0 : 0
Castro
26 Apr
Cayon CD
3 : 2
UC Cartes
18 Apr
UC Cartes
0 : 1
CD Montanas del Pas
11 Apr
UM Escobedo
3 : 1
UC Cartes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 34 26 5 3 86:15 83
2 CD Laredo 34 21 8 5 63:28 71
3 CD Tropezon 34 21 4 9 50:27 67
4 Guarnizo 34 19 9 6 47:26 66
5 UM Escobedo 34 21 2 11 65:43 65
6 Vimenor 34 17 8 9 47:36 59
7 Atletico Albericia 34 17 5 12 61:45 56
8 Cayon CD 34 17 5 12 50:41 56
9 Torina 34 15 8 11 39:40 53
10 Bezana 34 13 8 13 43:38 47
11 Castro 34 10 8 16 44:47 38
12 Selaya 34 8 8 18 32:44 32
13 CD Revilla 34 8 7 19 35:63 31
14 CD Barquereno 34 8 6 20 37:64 30
15 UC Cartes 34 6 10 18 28:52 28
16 CD Colindres 34 6 10 18 27:47 28
17 CD Montanas del Pas 34 6 8 20 35:87 26
18 SD Noja 34 4 7 23 22:68 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 (Play Offs)