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Cazalegas vs Noblejas

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Chaves M.
40' Event
Blazquez S.
58' Event
Tesoro J. C.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Cazalegas
15%
Draws
65%
Noblejas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Noblejas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Noblejas average 1 goals a game right now, well clear of Cazalegas's 0.62.
  • Noblejas are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 91.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Cazalegas Clean Sheet 10%
Noblejas Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cazalegas Noblejas
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 5 5
Draws 9 7
Losses 20 17
Goals Scored 0.62 1
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.23
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Cazalegas vs Noblejas
2:2
Dec 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Noblejas vs Cazalegas
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cazalegas Compare

Top Goalscorer Blazquez S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tesoro J. C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Noblejas Compare

Top Goalscorer Chaves M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Matallanos F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.03
Avg xA / game 1.24

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cazalegas 10 / 100
Noblejas 76 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cazalegas Noblejas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Noblejas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Noblejas has conceded goals in 93% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Cazalegas scored in 44% of their last 34 outings.

Solid form: Cazalegas remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cazalegas VS Noblejas
0.5 Goals Scored 1.33
3.13 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 83%
75% Over 2.5 33%
38% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Cazalegas

(Home)
10 May
CD Tarancon
3 : 0
Cazalegas
03 May
Cazalegas
2 : 1
CD Pedroneras
26 Apr
Puertollano C.F.
1 : 0
Cazalegas
19 Apr
Cazalegas
0 : 2
San Clemente
11 Apr
Villacanas
1 : 0
Cazalegas
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Noblejas

(Away)
27 Sept
Villarrobledo
2 : 0
Noblejas
19 Sept
Noblejas
2 : 1
Toledo
13 Sept
San Clemente
1 : 1
Noblejas
05 Sept
Noblejas
3 : 2
UD Almansa
19 Aug
Pozuelo de Alarcon
0 : 2
Noblejas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Quintanar del Rey 34 17 13 4 31:15 64
2 Albacete B 34 17 12 5 61:31 63
3 Toledo 34 18 8 8 47:17 62
4 Villacanas 34 18 8 8 39:29 62
5 Socuellamos 34 16 9 9 47:24 57
6 Huracan de Balazote 34 14 14 6 41:28 56
7 CD Tarancon 34 15 10 9 41:31 55
8 Cazalegas 34 14 7 13 47:44 49
9 Puertollano C.F. 34 11 15 8 39:39 48
10 Villarrubia 34 12 11 11 40:38 47
11 Manchego Ciudad Real 34 12 9 13 45:37 45
12 CD Pedroneras 34 11 10 13 37:43 43
13 Marchamalo 34 12 5 17 50:47 41
14 Azuqueca 34 10 11 13 40:49 41
15 Villarrobledo 34 10 9 15 31:49 36
16 Valdepenas 34 3 13 18 21:48 22
17 Noblejas 34 3 9 22 30:69 18
18 Manzanares 34 2 9 23 23:72 15
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2024/2025 (Play Offs)