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CCD Alberite vs Berceo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Nono
10' Event
Nono
14' Event
Nono

AI Match Summary

CCD Alberite in this Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored CCD Alberite.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
CCD Alberite
15%
Draws
78%
Berceo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Berceo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Berceo have won more games recently than CCD Alberite.
  • Model gives Berceo a 78% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
CCD Alberite Clean Sheet 20%
Berceo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CCD Alberite Berceo
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 3 11
Draws 6 8
Losses 21 12
Goals Scored 1.17 1.58
Goals Conceded 2.93 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Berceo vs CCD Alberite
2:3
Oct 29, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CCD Alberite vs Berceo
4:2
May 9, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CCD Alberite vs Berceo
2:2
Apr 4, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Berceo vs CCD Alberite
1:1
Feb 23, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CCD Alberite vs Berceo
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CCD Alberite Compare

Top Goalscorer Nono
3 Goals
Assists Leader Ochoa I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Berceo Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Portilla M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CCD Alberite 10 / 100
Berceo 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CCD Alberite Berceo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Berceo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

CCD Alberite scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Berceo has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: CCD Alberite stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Berceo
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CCD Alberite

(Home)
04 Oct
CCD Alberite
1 : 1
Puerto de Vega
27 Sept
Puerto de Vega
4 : 0
CCD Alberite
12 May
Varea
2 : 1
CCD Alberite
05 May
CCD Alberite
1 : 3
Haro Deportivo
01 May
Alfaro
9 : 0
CCD Alberite
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Berceo

(Away)
04 Oct
Pradejon
1 : 2
Berceo
27 Sept
Berceo
2 : 1
San Marcial
20 Sept
Cenicero
2 : 1
Berceo
13 Sept
Berceo
7 : 0
River Ebro
05 Sept
Yague
1 : 2
Berceo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones B 34 23 7 4 67:19 76
2 Alfaro 34 23 7 4 80:36 76
3 CD Calahorra B 34 20 7 7 70:34 67
4 Anguiano 34 19 8 7 69:41 65
5 Varea 34 18 7 9 59:31 61
6 Oyonesa 34 17 7 10 46:28 58
7 Casalarreina CF 34 15 10 9 57:49 55
8 CDFC La Calzada 34 13 9 12 52:43 48
9 Berceo 34 13 8 13 43:44 47
10 Arnedo 34 11 9 14 36:48 42
11 Pena Balsamaiso 34 12 6 16 51:62 42
12 Racing Rioja 34 11 6 17 37:55 39
13 River Ebro 34 10 8 16 40:50 38
14 Vianes 34 9 6 19 30:62 33
15 Haro Deportivo 34 8 7 19 38:50 31
16 CD Tedeon 34 8 6 20 25:61 30
17 Comillas CF 34 3 15 16 38:59 24
18 CCD Alberite 34 4 5 25 37:103 17
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024 (Play Offs)