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CCD Alberite vs Casalarreina CF

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Perez D.
67'
Ochoa I.

AI Match Summary

Casalarreina CF in this Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Casalarreina CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
CCD Alberite
15%
Draws
64%
Casalarreina CF
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Casalarreina CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • CCD Alberite haven't matched Casalarreina CF's recent run of results.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Casalarreina CF taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
CCD Alberite Clean Sheet 10%
Casalarreina CF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CCD Alberite Casalarreina CF
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 3 10
Draws 6 3
Losses 21 18
Goals Scored 1.17 1.23
Goals Conceded 2.93 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CCD Alberite vs Casalarreina CF
0:1
Oct 22, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Casalarreina CF vs CCD Alberite
5:1
Feb 28, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CCD Alberite vs Casalarreina CF
0:1
Nov 29, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Casalarreina CF vs CCD Alberite
1:2
Mar 29, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Casalarreina CF vs CCD Alberite
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CCD Alberite Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Casalarreina CF Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CCD Alberite 14 / 100
Casalarreina CF 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CCD Alberite Casalarreina CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Casalarreina CF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Casalarreina CF let in goals in 90% of their last 31 matches.

CCD Alberite scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Casalarreina CF's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

CCD Alberite VS Casalarreina CF
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

CCD Alberite

(Home)
04 Oct
CCD Alberite
1 : 1
Puerto de Vega
27 Sept
Puerto de Vega
4 : 0
CCD Alberite
12 May
Varea
2 : 1
CCD Alberite
05 May
CCD Alberite
1 : 3
Haro Deportivo
01 May
Alfaro
9 : 0
CCD Alberite
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Casalarreina CF

(Away)
04 Oct
Calasancio
2 : 1
Casalarreina CF
26 Sept
Casalarreina CF
1 : 5
Agoncillo
18 Sept
Oyonesa
1 : 0
Casalarreina CF
13 Sept
Casalarreina CF
0 : 3
CDFC La Calzada
05 Sept
Pradejon
1 : 2
Casalarreina CF
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones B 34 23 7 4 67:19 76
2 Alfaro 34 23 7 4 80:36 76
3 CD Calahorra B 34 20 7 7 70:34 67
4 Anguiano 34 19 8 7 69:41 65
5 Varea 34 18 7 9 59:31 61
6 Oyonesa 34 17 7 10 46:28 58
7 Casalarreina CF 34 15 10 9 57:49 55
8 CDFC La Calzada 34 13 9 12 52:43 48
9 Berceo 34 13 8 13 43:44 47
10 Arnedo 34 11 9 14 36:48 42
11 Pena Balsamaiso 34 12 6 16 51:62 42
12 Racing Rioja 34 11 6 17 37:55 39
13 River Ebro 34 10 8 16 40:50 38
14 Vianes 34 9 6 19 30:62 33
15 Haro Deportivo 34 8 7 19 38:50 31
16 CD Tedeon 34 8 6 20 25:61 30
17 Comillas CF 34 3 15 16 38:59 24
18 CCD Alberite 34 4 5 25 37:103 17
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024 (Play Offs)