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CD Aguilar vs Arandina

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 8 2010/2011
CD Aguilar Logo

CD Aguilar

1 - 2
FT
Arandina Logo

Arandina

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Arandina in this Tercera Division - Group 8 2010/2011 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arandina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
CD Aguilar
30%
Draws
37%
Arandina
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Arandina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • CD Aguilar haven't matched Arandina's recent run of results.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Arandina taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
CD Aguilar Clean Sheet 20%
Arandina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Aguilar Arandina
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 8
Draws 9 9
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.23 1
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
CD Aguilar vs Arandina
1:2
Nov 28, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Arandina vs CD Aguilar
1:2
May 2, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
CD Aguilar vs Arandina
1:0
Jan 3, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Arandina vs CD Aguilar
0:0
Feb 1, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Arandina vs CD Aguilar
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Aguilar 28 / 100
Arandina 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Aguilar Arandina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arandina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arandina's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

CD Aguilar found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: CD Aguilar stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Arandina
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Aguilar

(Home)
13 May
Palencia CA
3 : 3
CD Aguilar
06 May
CD Aguilar
4 : 2
CD Bejar Industrial
01 May
La Granja
1 : 0
CD Aguilar
28 Apr
CD Aguilar
1 : 0
Atletico Tordesillas
23 Apr
Atletico Astorga
4 : 0
CD Aguilar
Page 1 of 6

Arandina

(Away)
10 May
Becerril
2 : 0
Arandina
02 May
Arandina
2 : 1
Mirandes B
26 Apr
Arandina
3 : 3
Bembibre
18 Apr
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 1
Arandina
11 Apr
Arandina
3 : 1
La Virgen
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burgos CF 38 25 9 4 75:23 84
2 Villaralbo 38 25 8 5 83:36 83
3 Gimnastica Segoviana 38 24 9 5 68:26 81
4 Arandina 38 23 9 6 61:26 78
5 Valladolid Promesas 38 20 9 9 67:25 69
6 Almazan 38 14 13 11 55:51 55
7 Real Avila 38 14 13 11 48:44 55
8 CD Iscar 38 15 8 15 48:62 53
9 Numancia B 38 14 11 13 58:49 53
10 Bembibre 38 15 7 16 56:46 52
11 Club Deportivo Huracan Z 38 13 12 13 30:37 51
12 Atletico Astorga 38 12 14 12 39:44 50
13 CD Aguilar 38 13 9 16 41:60 48
14 Ponferradina B 38 11 9 18 45:49 42
15 Palencia CA 38 9 11 18 27:43 38
16 Atletico Tordesillas 38 9 8 21 33:65 35
17 Racing Lermeno 38 7 11 20 29:61 32
18 CD Cebrerena 38 8 6 24 42:92 30
19 Santa Marta Tormes 38 6 11 21 36:68 29
20 CF Venta de Banos 38 6 7 25 30:64 25
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)