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Stadium Background

CD Aguilar vs Atletico Astorga

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 8 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CD Aguilar in this Tercera Division - Group 8 2010/2011 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Aguilar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
CD Aguilar
20%
Draws
38%
Atletico Astorga
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Aguilar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Atletico Astorga have won more games recently than CD Aguilar.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on CD Aguilar taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 8 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
CD Aguilar Clean Sheet 19%
Atletico Astorga Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Aguilar Atletico Astorga
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 13
Draws 9 9
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 0 1.38
Goals Conceded 0 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Atletico Astorga vs CD Aguilar
4:0
Nov 27, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
CD Aguilar vs Atletico Astorga
1:2
May 8, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
CD Aguilar vs Atletico Astorga
1:0
Dec 18, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Atletico Astorga vs CD Aguilar
0:0
May 9, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Atletico Astorga vs CD Aguilar
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Aguilar 42 / 100
Atletico Astorga 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Aguilar Atletico Astorga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: CD Aguilar scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Atletico Astorga let in goals in 63% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: CD Aguilar remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Atletico Astorga
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Aguilar

(Home)
13 May
Palencia CA
3 : 3
CD Aguilar
06 May
CD Aguilar
4 : 2
CD Bejar Industrial
01 May
La Granja
1 : 0
CD Aguilar
28 Apr
CD Aguilar
1 : 0
Atletico Tordesillas
23 Apr
Atletico Astorga
4 : 0
CD Aguilar
Page 1 of 6

Atletico Astorga

(Away)
03 May
UD Ourense
1 : 1
Atletico Astorga
26 Apr
Atletico Astorga
1 : 0
Sarriana
18 Apr
Atletico Astorga
0 : 0
Burgos CF B
12 Apr
Rayo Cantabria
3 : 2
Atletico Astorga
04 Apr
Atletico Astorga
3 : 4
Lealtad
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Burgos CF38259475:2384
2Villaralbo38258583:3683
3Gimnastica Segoviana38249568:2681
4Arandina38239661:2678
5Valladolid Promesas38209967:2569
6Almazan3814131155:5155
7Real Avila3814131148:4455
8CD Iscar381581548:6253
9Numancia B3814111358:4953
10Bembibre381571656:4652
11Club Deportivo Huracan Z3813121330:3751
12Atletico Astorga3812141239:4450
13CD Aguilar381391641:6048
14Ponferradina B381191845:4942
15Palencia CA389111827:4338
16Atletico Tordesillas38982133:6535
17Racing Lermeno387112029:6132
18CD Cebrerena38862442:9230
19Santa Marta Tormes386112136:6829
20CF Venta de Banos38672530:6425
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)