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CD Aguilar vs Burgos CF - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 8 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Burgos CF in this Tercera Division - Group 8 2010/2011 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Burgos CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
CD Aguilar
20%
Draws
47%
Burgos CF
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Burgos CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Burgos CF lately — more wins on the board than CD Aguilar.
  • Model gives Burgos CF a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 8 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Burgos CF have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
CD Aguilar Clean Sheet 20%
Burgos CF Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Aguilar Burgos CF
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 7 18
Draws 10 8
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 1.19 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.55 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 0.72 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
CD Aguilar vs Burgos CF
0:1
Dec 5, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Burgos CF vs CD Aguilar
6:0
Apr 4, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Burgos CF vs CD Aguilar
2:0
Nov 15, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
CD Aguilar vs Burgos CF
1:0
Mar 19, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
CD Aguilar vs Burgos CF
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Aguilar 20 / 100
Burgos CF 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Aguilar Burgos CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Burgos CF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: CD Aguilar scored in 61% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: CD Aguilar remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Burgos CF conceded in 45% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Burgos CF
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 0.25
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Aguilar

(Home)
13 May
Palencia CA
3 : 3
CD Aguilar
06 May
CD Aguilar
4 : 2
CD Bejar Industrial
01 May
La Granja
1 : 0
CD Aguilar
28 Apr
CD Aguilar
1 : 0
Atletico Tordesillas
23 Apr
Atletico Astorga
4 : 0
CD Aguilar
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Burgos CF

(Away)
03 Oct
Almeria
2 : 1
Burgos CF
27 Sept
Burgos CF
1 : 0
Eldense
20 Sept
Las Palmas
1 : 2
Burgos CF
11 Sept
Burgos CF
3 : 1
AD Ceuta
06 Sept
Real Oviedo
0 : 0
Burgos CF
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burgos CF 38 25 9 4 75:23 84
2 Villaralbo 38 25 8 5 83:36 83
3 Gimnastica Segoviana 38 24 9 5 68:26 81
4 Arandina 38 23 9 6 61:26 78
5 Valladolid Promesas 38 20 9 9 67:25 69
6 Almazan 38 14 13 11 55:51 55
7 Real Avila 38 14 13 11 48:44 55
8 CD Iscar 38 15 8 15 48:62 53
9 Numancia B 38 14 11 13 58:49 53
10 Bembibre 38 15 7 16 56:46 52
11 Club Deportivo Huracan Z 38 13 12 13 30:37 51
12 Atletico Astorga 38 12 14 12 39:44 50
13 CD Aguilar 38 13 9 16 41:60 48
14 Ponferradina B 38 11 9 18 45:49 42
15 Palencia CA 38 9 11 18 27:43 38
16 Atletico Tordesillas 38 9 8 21 33:65 35
17 Racing Lermeno 38 7 11 20 29:61 32
18 CD Cebrerena 38 8 6 24 42:92 30
19 Santa Marta Tormes 38 6 11 21 36:68 29
20 CF Venta de Banos 38 6 7 25 30:64 25
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)