Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 10 2016/2017 game between CD Alcala and AD Ceuta finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AD Ceuta.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Alcala
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- CD Alcala haven't matched AD Ceuta's recent run of results.
- 43% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 10 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- AD Ceuta have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
CD Alcala Clean Sheet 20%
AD Ceuta Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CD Alcala | AD Ceuta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 9 | 13 |
| Draws | 3 | 5 |
| Losses | 18 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.8 | 1.35 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.67 | 1.71 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.48 | 1.05 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 4, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Alcala vs AD Ceuta
1:3
Oct 22, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Ceuta vs CD Alcala
3:0
Feb 5, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Alcala vs AD Ceuta
0:1
Oct 2, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Ceuta vs CD Alcala
2:0
Apr 3, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Ceuta vs CD Alcala
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CD Alcala 31 / 100
AD Ceuta 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CD Alcala AD Ceuta
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CD Alcala Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
AD Ceuta has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.
CD Alcala scored in 60% of their last 30 games.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
AD Ceuta's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS AD Ceuta
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
CD Alcala
(Home) 13 May
CD Alcala
0 : 2 Sanluqueno
06 May
Sevilla C
4 : 0 CD Alcala
28 Apr
Puente Genil
2 : 0 CD Alcala
22 Apr
CD Alcala
1 : 0 Castilleja CF
15 Apr
Inter Sevilla
0 : 2 CD Alcala
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13 May
CD Alcala
0 : 2 Sanluqueno
22 Apr
CD Alcala
1 : 0 Castilleja CF
08 Apr
CD Alcala
2 : 0 CD Utrera
18 Mar
CD Alcala
1 : 3 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B)
04 Mar
CD Alcala
1 : 3 AD Ceuta
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AD Ceuta
(Away) 22 Aug
AD Ceuta
0 : 2 Las Palmas
15 Aug
FC Andorra
5 : 1 AD Ceuta
07 Aug
AD Ceuta
2 : 1 Malaga
29 Jul
Cadiz
1 : 3 AD Ceuta
26 Jul
Sevilla
2 : 1 AD Ceuta
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15 Aug
FC Andorra
5 : 1 AD Ceuta
29 Jul
Cadiz
1 : 3 AD Ceuta
26 Jul
Sevilla
2 : 1 AD Ceuta
22 Jul
Torremolinos
1 : 0 AD Ceuta
24 May
FC Andorra
0 : 2 AD Ceuta
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Betis B | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 81:35 | 75 |
| 2 | Arcos CF | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 76:39 | 74 |
| 3 | Ecija | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 69:39 | 69 |
| 4 | Algeciras | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 66:34 | 68 |
| 5 | San Roque de Lepe | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 68:52 | 66 |
| 6 | Atletico Espeleno | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63:56 | 60 |
| 7 | Sevilla C | 38 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 55:39 | 58 |
| 8 | AD Ceuta | 38 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 45:39 | 56 |
| 9 | Lebrijana | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 45:48 | 53 |
| 10 | CD Utrera | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 49:50 | 51 |
| 11 | CD Gerena | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:53 | 49 |
| 12 | Los Barrios | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 31:44 | 47 |
| 13 | CD Guadalcacin | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 42:57 | 46 |
| 14 | Cabecense | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 47:64 | 43 |
| 15 | Castilleja CF | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 44:55 | 43 |
| 16 | Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 45:66 | 43 |
| 17 | CD Alcala | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 37:65 | 43 |
| 18 | Antoniano | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 38:59 | 40 |
| 19 | Coria C.F. | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 48:66 | 36 |
| 20 | San Roque de Cadiz | 38 | 6 | 6 | 26 | 37:79 | 24 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)
