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CD Alcala vs Atletico Espeleno

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Tercera Division - Group 10 2016/2017
CD Alcala Logo

CD Alcala

2 - 0
FT
Atletico Espeleno Logo

Atletico Espeleno

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 10 2016/2017 game between CD Alcala and Atletico Espeleno finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Alcala.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
CD Alcala
15%
Draws
28%
Atletico Espeleno
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Alcala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CD Alcala come out ahead of Atletico Espeleno on wins alone.
  • CD Alcala are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 10 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
CD Alcala Clean Sheet 20%
Atletico Espeleno Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Alcala Atletico Espeleno
Matches Played 33 37
Wins 12 9
Draws 3 13
Losses 18 15
Goals Scored 0.88 1.05
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Atletico Espeleno vs CD Alcala
2:1
Sep 10, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Alcala vs Atletico Espeleno
2:1
Mar 5, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Alcala vs Atletico Espeleno
2:0
Oct 23, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Atletico Espeleno vs CD Alcala
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Alcala 67 / 100
Atletico Espeleno 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Alcala Atletico Espeleno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Alcala Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: CD Alcala scored in 64% of their last 33 outings.

Atletico Espeleno's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 37 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Difficult form: Atletico Espeleno registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Atletico Espeleno
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Alcala

(Home)
13 May
CD Alcala
0 : 2
Sanluqueno
06 May
Sevilla C
4 : 0
CD Alcala
28 Apr
Puente Genil
2 : 0
CD Alcala
22 Apr
CD Alcala
1 : 0
Castilleja CF
15 Apr
Inter Sevilla
0 : 2
CD Alcala
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Atletico Espeleno

(Away)
11 May
Atletico Espeleno
1 : 2
Conil
04 May
CD Utrera
3 : 1
Atletico Espeleno
01 May
Atletico Espeleno
1 : 0
San Roque de Lepe
26 Apr
Bollullos
3 : 0
Atletico Espeleno
12 Apr
Atletico Espeleno
1 : 4
Atl. Onubense (Huelva B)
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Betis B 38 23 6 9 81:35 75
2 Arcos CF 38 21 11 6 76:39 74
3 Ecija 38 20 9 9 69:39 69
4 Algeciras 38 19 11 8 66:34 68
5 San Roque de Lepe 38 19 9 10 68:52 66
6 Atletico Espeleno 38 17 9 12 63:56 60
7 Sevilla C 38 15 13 10 55:39 58
8 AD Ceuta 38 14 14 10 45:39 56
9 Lebrijana 38 14 11 13 45:48 53
10 CD Utrera 38 15 6 17 49:50 51
11 CD Gerena 38 14 7 17 53:53 49
12 Los Barrios 38 13 8 17 31:44 47
13 CD Guadalcacin 38 12 10 16 42:57 46
14 Cabecense 38 10 13 15 47:64 43
15 Castilleja CF 38 12 7 19 44:55 43
16 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 38 11 10 17 45:66 43
17 CD Alcala 38 12 7 19 37:65 43
18 Antoniano 38 9 13 16 38:59 40
19 Coria C.F. 38 8 12 18 48:66 36
20 San Roque de Cadiz 38 6 6 26 37:79 24
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)