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CD Algar vs Alcantarilla

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

86' Event
Diaz A.
90' Event
Chetauya T.

AI Match Summary

Alcantarilla in this Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alcantarilla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
CD Algar
30%
Draws
62%
Alcantarilla
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Alcantarilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • CD Algar haven't matched Alcantarilla's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Alcantarilla a 62% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
CD Algar Clean Sheet 20%
Alcantarilla Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Algar Alcantarilla
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 6 10
Draws 5 8
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 0.83 0.84
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.15
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
CD Algar vs Alcantarilla
0:2
Jan 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Alcantarilla vs CD Algar
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Algar Compare

Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Alcantarilla Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaz A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chetauya T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.05
Avg xA / game 0.64

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Algar 20 / 100
Alcantarilla 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Algar Alcantarilla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alcantarilla Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alcantarilla let in goals in 61% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: CD Algar scored in 48% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: CD Algar remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CD Algar VS Alcantarilla
0.2 Goals Scored 0.5
1.8 Goals Conceded 1.5
80% Over 1.5 50%
40% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Algar

(Home)
27 Sept
CD Algar
1 : 2
Deportivo Maritimo
20 Sept
Santomera
2 : 0
CD Algar
13 Sept
CD Algar
0 : 3
Bullas Deportivo
05 Sept
CA Pulpileno
2 : 0
CD Algar
24 Aug
CD Algar
0 : 0
Minerva
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Alcantarilla

(Away)
27 Sept
Bala Azul
0 : 1
Alcantarilla
20 Sept
Alcantarilla
2 : 0
Cotillas CD
12 Sept
Alcantarilla
0 : 0
CA Pulpileno
06 Sept
Aguilas FC B
1 : 1
Alcantarilla
11 May
CA Pulpileno
4 : 0
Alcantarilla
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportiva Minera 34 24 6 4 53:19 78
2 Real Murcia B 34 20 8 6 67:33 68
3 Ciudad Cieza 34 19 11 4 44:24 68
4 UCAM Murcia B 34 19 5 10 42:24 62
5 Caravaca 34 18 7 9 60:32 61
6 Lorca Deportiva 34 17 8 9 64:30 59
7 Molinense 34 18 5 11 60:34 59
8 CA Pulpileno 34 13 13 8 39:23 52
9 Muleno CF 34 12 7 15 37:42 43
10 Racing Murcia 34 11 7 16 36:51 40
11 Plus Ultra 34 12 2 20 43:56 38
12 E.G. El Palmar 34 9 9 16 33:52 36
13 Bullense 34 10 6 18 40:65 36
14 Balsicas Atletico 34 9 9 16 35:53 36
15 Alcantarilla 34 10 6 18 34:41 36
16 Ciudad de Murcia 34 7 9 18 28:43 30
17 CD Algar 34 7 8 19 31:65 29
18 Montecasillas 34 7 2 25 31:90 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 (Play Offs)