Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CD Algar vs CA Pulpileno

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Belencoso J.
34'
Martin Fernandez A.
65' Event
Ramos Acevedo G. J.

AI Match Summary

CA Pulpileno in this Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored CA Pulpileno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
CD Algar
30%
Draws
62%
CA Pulpileno
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CA Pulpileno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • CA Pulpileno have won more games recently than CD Algar.
  • Model gives CA Pulpileno a 62% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and CA Pulpileno have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
CD Algar Clean Sheet 17%
CA Pulpileno Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Algar CA Pulpileno
Matches Played 31 40
Wins 6 20
Draws 6 11
Losses 19 9
Goals Scored 0.84 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.9 0.7
Expected Goals (xG) 0.60 1.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
CA Pulpileno vs CD Algar
2:0
Apr 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
CD Algar vs CA Pulpileno
0:3
Nov 19, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
CA Pulpileno vs CD Algar
0:0
Feb 17, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
CD Algar vs CA Pulpileno
1:2
Sep 30, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
CA Pulpileno vs CD Algar
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Algar Compare

Avg xG / game 0.46
Avg xA / game 0.3

CA Pulpileno Compare

Top Goalscorer Belencoso J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ramos Acevedo G. J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.27
Avg xA / game 0.78

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Algar 10 / 100
CA Pulpileno 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Algar CA Pulpileno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CA Pulpileno Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

CD Algar found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: CA Pulpileno conceded in 43% of 40 recent games.

CD Algar went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Algar VS CA Pulpileno
0.2 Goals Scored 1
1.8 Goals Conceded 1
80% Over 1.5 75%
40% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Algar

(Home)
27 Sept
CD Algar
1 : 2
Deportivo Maritimo
20 Sept
Santomera
2 : 0
CD Algar
13 Sept
CD Algar
0 : 3
Bullas Deportivo
05 Sept
CA Pulpileno
2 : 0
CD Algar
24 Aug
CD Algar
0 : 0
Minerva
Page 1 of 7

CA Pulpileno

(Away)
27 Sept
Cotillas CD
1 : 2
CA Pulpileno
20 Sept
CA Pulpileno
0 : 0
Bullas Deportivo
12 Sept
Alcantarilla
0 : 0
CA Pulpileno
05 Sept
CA Pulpileno
2 : 0
CD Algar
10 May
CA Pulpileno
0 : 1
Mazarron FC
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportiva Minera 34 24 6 4 53:19 78
2 Real Murcia B 34 20 8 6 67:33 68
3 Ciudad Cieza 34 19 11 4 44:24 68
4 UCAM Murcia B 34 19 5 10 42:24 62
5 Caravaca 34 18 7 9 60:32 61
6 Lorca Deportiva 34 17 8 9 64:30 59
7 Molinense 34 18 5 11 60:34 59
8 CA Pulpileno 34 13 13 8 39:23 52
9 Muleno CF 34 12 7 15 37:42 43
10 Racing Murcia 34 11 7 16 36:51 40
11 Plus Ultra 34 12 2 20 43:56 38
12 E.G. El Palmar 34 9 9 16 33:52 36
13 Bullense 34 10 6 18 40:65 36
14 Balsicas Atletico 34 9 9 16 35:53 36
15 Alcantarilla 34 10 6 18 34:41 36
16 Ciudad de Murcia 34 7 9 18 28:43 30
17 CD Algar 34 7 8 19 31:65 29
18 Montecasillas 34 7 2 25 31:90 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 (Play Offs)