Sport Picks
CD Algar vs Lorca Deportiva Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 
Match Events
68'
68'
Garcia Alcala Cuenca C.
71'
71'
Garcia Alcala Cuenca C.
85'
85'
Vazquez A.
AI Match Summary
Lorca Deportiva in this Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lorca Deportiva.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
20%
50%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lorca Deportiva
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- Lorca Deportiva have won more games recently than CD Algar.
- 50% — that's where the model lands on Lorca Deportiva taking it.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Lorca Deportiva have taken 5 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 60.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
CD Algar Clean Sheet 22%
Lorca Deportiva Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CD Algar | Lorca Deportiva |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 8 |
| Draws | 4 | 8 |
| Losses | 18 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 0.77 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.93 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.08 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
CD Algar vs Lorca Deportiva
1:3
Sep 24, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Lorca Deportiva vs CD Algar
5:1
Feb 3, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
CD Algar vs Lorca Deportiva
0:1
Sep 16, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Lorca Deportiva vs CD Algar
3:1
Feb 26, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Lorca Deportiva vs CD Algar
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
CD Algar Compare
Top Goalscorer Cohete A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
Lorca Deportiva Compare
Top Goalscorer Garcia Alcala Cuenca C.
2 Goals Assists Leader Vazquez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.98
Avg xA / game 0.6
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CD Algar 24 / 100
Lorca Deportiva 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CD Algar Lorca Deportiva
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lorca Deportiva Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.80 goals.
Lorca Deportiva's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.
CD Algar scored in 52% of their last 29 games.
Recent resilience: CD Algar stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
CD Algar VS Lorca Deportiva
0.5 Goals Scored 0.5
1.67 Goals Conceded 1.13
83% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
CD Algar
(Home) 04 Oct
FC Cartagena SAD B
1 : 2 CD Algar
27 Sept
CD Algar
1 : 2 Deportivo Maritimo
20 Sept
Santomera
2 : 0 CD Algar
13 Sept
CD Algar
0 : 3 Bullas Deportivo
05 Sept
CA Pulpileno
2 : 0 CD Algar
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
CD Algar
1 : 2 Deportivo Maritimo
13 Sept
CD Algar
0 : 3 Bullas Deportivo
24 Aug
CD Algar
0 : 0 Minerva
10 May
CD Algar
4 : 3 Plus Ultra
01 May
CD Algar
0 : 2 Alcantarilla
Page 1 of 3
Lorca Deportiva
(Away) 03 Oct
Castellon B
2 : 1 Lorca Deportiva
27 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
1 : 0 Castellonense
20 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
0 : 0 CF Intercity
13 Sept
Orihuela
1 : 0 Lorca Deportiva
06 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
1 : 1 Ilicitano
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Castellon B
2 : 1 Lorca Deportiva
13 Sept
Orihuela
1 : 0 Lorca Deportiva
15 Aug
Aguilas FC
1 : 0 Lorca Deportiva
03 May
Deportiva Minera
1 : 0 Lorca Deportiva
19 Apr
Aguilas FC
2 : 0 Lorca Deportiva
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportiva Minera | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 53:19 | 78 |
| 2 | Real Murcia B | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 67:33 | 68 |
| 3 | Ciudad Cieza | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 44:24 | 68 |
| 4 | UCAM Murcia B | 34 | 19 | 5 | 10 | 42:24 | 62 |
| 5 | Caravaca | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 60:32 | 61 |
| 6 | Lorca Deportiva | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 64:30 | 59 |
| 7 | Molinense | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 60:34 | 59 |
| 8 | CA Pulpileno | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 39:23 | 52 |
| 9 | Muleno CF | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 37:42 | 43 |
| 10 | Racing Murcia | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 36:51 | 40 |
| 11 | Plus Ultra | 34 | 12 | 2 | 20 | 43:56 | 38 |
| 12 | E.G. El Palmar | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 33:52 | 36 |
| 13 | Bullense | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 40:65 | 36 |
| 14 | Balsicas Atletico | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 35:53 | 36 |
| 15 | Alcantarilla | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 34:41 | 36 |
| 16 | Ciudad de Murcia | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 28:43 | 30 |
| 17 | CD Algar | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 31:65 | 29 |
| 18 | Montecasillas | 34 | 7 | 2 | 25 | 31:90 | 23 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
