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CD Algar vs Plus Ultra

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Rubio L. N.
33' Event
Marty A.
35' Event
Robles A.

AI Match Summary

CD Algar in this Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Algar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
CD Algar
20%
Draws
16%
Plus Ultra
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Algar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Plus Ultra haven't matched CD Algar's recent run of results.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on CD Algar taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
CD Algar Clean Sheet 20%
Plus Ultra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Algar Plus Ultra
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 6 2
Draws 5 2
Losses 18 28
Goals Scored 0.83 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.93 2.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
CD Algar vs Plus Ultra
4:3
Jan 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Plus Ultra vs CD Algar
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Algar Compare

Top Goalscorer Rubio L. N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marty A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.93

Plus Ultra Compare

Top Goalscorer Robles A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alvarez C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Algar 76 / 100
Plus Ultra 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Algar Plus Ultra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Algar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Plus Ultra let in goals in 91% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Away concern: Plus Ultra has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

CD Algar's goal record stands at 48% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

CD Algar VS Plus Ultra
0 Goals Scored 0.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Algar

(Home)
20 Sept
Santomera
2 : 0
CD Algar
13 Sept
CD Algar
0 : 3
Bullas Deportivo
05 Sept
CA Pulpileno
2 : 0
CD Algar
24 Aug
CD Algar
0 : 0
Minerva
10 May
CD Algar
4 : 3
Plus Ultra
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Plus Ultra

(Away)
11 May
Plus Ultra
3 : 3
Caravaca
04 May
Minerva
4 : 0
Plus Ultra
27 Apr
Plus Ultra
1 : 2
Muleno CF
20 Apr
E.G. El Palmar
5 : 0
Plus Ultra
12 Apr
Plus Ultra
0 : 1
Molinense
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportiva Minera 34 24 6 4 53:19 78
2 Real Murcia B 34 20 8 6 67:33 68
3 Ciudad Cieza 34 19 11 4 44:24 68
4 UCAM Murcia B 34 19 5 10 42:24 62
5 Caravaca 34 18 7 9 60:32 61
6 Lorca Deportiva 34 17 8 9 64:30 59
7 Molinense 34 18 5 11 60:34 59
8 CA Pulpileno 34 13 13 8 39:23 52
9 Muleno CF 34 12 7 15 37:42 43
10 Racing Murcia 34 11 7 16 36:51 40
11 Plus Ultra 34 12 2 20 43:56 38
12 E.G. El Palmar 34 9 9 16 33:52 36
13 Bullense 34 10 6 18 40:65 36
14 Balsicas Atletico 34 9 9 16 35:53 36
15 Alcantarilla 34 10 6 18 34:41 36
16 Ciudad de Murcia 34 7 9 18 28:43 30
17 CD Algar 34 7 8 19 31:65 29
18 Montecasillas 34 7 2 25 31:90 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 (Play Offs)