Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CD Alhaurino vs Arenas Armilla - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CD Alhaurino host Arenas Armilla in the Tercera RFEF - Group 9. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: CD Alhaurino at 1.17 goals for, 1.14 against; Arenas Armilla at 1.29 for, 1 against. Past meetings favor CD Alhaurino slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 3, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 0.85 vs 1.19, favoring Arenas Armilla. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
CD Alhaurino
30%
Draws
51%
Arenas Armilla
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Arenas Armilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Arenas Armilla carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Arenas Armilla are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
CD Alhaurino Clean Sheet 20%
Arenas Armilla Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Alhaurino Arenas Armilla
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 9 14
Draws 9 10
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.17 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.14 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Arenas Armilla vs CD Alhaurino
0:1
Jan 14, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Alhaurino vs Arenas Armilla
0:0
Jan 6, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Arenas Armilla vs CD Alhaurino
2:1
Aug 30, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Alhaurino vs Arenas Armilla
3:0
Feb 15, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Arenas Armilla vs CD Alhaurino
5:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Alhaurino 16 / 100
Arenas Armilla 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Alhaurino Arenas Armilla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arenas Armilla Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Alhaurino scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Arenas Armilla let in goals in 61% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: CD Alhaurino stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Alhaurino VS Arenas Armilla
0.57 Goals Scored 1.25
1.14 Goals Conceded 1.13
71% Over 1.5 63%
29% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Alhaurino

(Home)
04 Oct
CD Alhaurino
1 : 2
Melilla
27 Sept
Motril
2 : 0
CD Alhaurino
20 Sept
CD Alhaurino
2 : 1
Churriana de la Vega
13 Sept
Almeria B
2 : 0
CD Alhaurino
06 Sept
CD Alhaurino
0 : 0
Granada CF B
Page 1 of 6

Arenas Armilla

(Away)
04 Oct
Torre del Mar
0 : 1
Arenas Armilla
27 Sept
Arenas Armilla
3 : 3
Huetor Vega
20 Sept
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
1 : 1
Arenas Armilla
13 Sept
Arenas Armilla
1 : 0
Mancha
06 Sept
Atletico de Marbella
0 : 2
Arenas Armilla
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Melilla 5 5 0 0 11:3 15
2 Marbelli 5 4 1 0 8:3 13
3 Arenas Armilla 5 3 2 0 8:4 11
4 Motril 5 3 2 0 8:4 11
5 Malaga B 5 3 1 1 11:4 10
6 Almeria B 5 3 1 1 9:3 10
7 UD San Pedro 5 3 0 2 7:8 9
8 Granada CF B 5 2 1 2 7:4 7
9 Churriana de la Vega 5 2 0 3 9:9 6
10 Atletico de Porcuna 5 2 0 3 6:14 6
11 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 5 1 2 2 5:6 5
12 Huetor Vega 5 1 2 2 7:9 5
13 Torre del Mar 5 1 1 3 3:5 4
14 Atletico de Marbella 5 1 1 3 2:5 4
15 CD Alhaurino 5 1 1 3 3:7 4
16 Cantoria 5 0 3 2 4:7 3
17 Mancha 5 0 2 3 2:7 2
18 Malaga Juniors 5 0 0 5 3:11 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 (Play Offs)