Sport Picks
CD Alhaurino vs Huetor Vega
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 
Match Events
19'
19'
Mezrai H.
70'
70'
Grasa J.
72'
72'
Torres M.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 game between CD Alhaurino and Huetor Vega finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Huetor Vega.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CD Alhaurino
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Huetor Vega come out ahead of CD Alhaurino on wins alone.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on CD Alhaurino taking it.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
CD Alhaurino Clean Sheet 68%
Huetor Vega Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CD Alhaurino | Huetor Vega |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 9 | 11 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.26 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Alhaurino vs Huetor Vega
1:2
Oct 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Huetor Vega vs CD Alhaurino
1:1
Jan 19, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Huetor Vega vs CD Alhaurino
1:2
Sep 26, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Alhaurino vs Huetor Vega
2:2
Feb 28, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Huetor Vega vs CD Alhaurino
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
CD Alhaurino Compare
Top Goalscorer Mezrai H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Huetor Vega Compare
Top Goalscorer Grasa J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Torres M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CD Alhaurino 68 / 100
Huetor Vega 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CD Alhaurino Huetor Vega
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CD Alhaurino Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
CD Alhaurino found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).
Huetor Vega's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
CD Alhaurino went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
CD Alhaurino VS Huetor Vega
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
CD Alhaurino
(Home) 20 Sept
CD Alhaurino
2 : 1 Churriana de la Vega
13 Sept
Almeria B
2 : 0 CD Alhaurino
06 Sept
CD Alhaurino
0 : 0 Granada CF B
10 May
CD Alhaurino
1 : 1 Mancha
03 May
Arenas Armilla
0 : 1 CD Alhaurino
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
CD Alhaurino
2 : 1 Churriana de la Vega
06 Sept
CD Alhaurino
0 : 0 Granada CF B
10 May
CD Alhaurino
1 : 1 Mancha
26 Apr
CD Alhaurino
4 : 0 Churriana de la Vega
12 Apr
CD Alhaurino
3 : 0 Atletico de Porcuna
Page 1 of 3
Huetor Vega
(Away) 20 Sept
Huetor Vega
1 : 3 Marbelli
12 Sept
Melilla
3 : 0 Huetor Vega
05 Sept
Huetor Vega
0 : 0 Motril
10 May
Huetor Vega
4 : 0 Martos
03 May
Mijas Las Lagunas
3 : 0 Huetor Vega
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Melilla
3 : 0 Huetor Vega
03 May
Mijas Las Lagunas
3 : 0 Huetor Vega
19 Apr
Mancha
2 : 1 Huetor Vega
05 Apr
Churriana de la Vega
1 : 4 Huetor Vega
22 Mar
Atletico de Porcuna
2 : 2 Huetor Vega
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mijas Las Lagunas | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 46:24 | 66 |
| 2 | Motril | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 55:29 | 65 |
| 3 | Torre del Mar | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 37:26 | 55 |
| 4 | Arenas Armilla | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 38:29 | 54 |
| 5 | Churriana de la Vega | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 32:40 | 52 |
| 6 | Marbelli | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 36:28 | 51 |
| 7 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 39:38 | 50 |
| 8 | UD San Pedro | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 39:37 | 49 |
| 9 | Atletico de Porcuna | 34 | 14 | 4 | 16 | 41:39 | 46 |
| 10 | Huetor Vega | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 43:42 | 45 |
| 11 | Granada CF B | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 49:47 | 44 |
| 12 | CD Alhaurino | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 41:41 | 43 |
| 13 | Melilla B | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 30:32 | 39 |
| 14 | Mancha | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 30:38 | 37 |
| 15 | Huetor Tajar | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 40:44 | 37 |
| 16 | Martos | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 32:48 | 37 |
| 17 | CD Torreperogil | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 24:45 | 33 |
| 18 | El Palo | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 28:53 | 27 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
