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CD Alhaurino vs Melilla B

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Ouzzani U. A.
60' Event
Jarauta A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
CD Alhaurino
30%
Draws
31%
Melilla B
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CD Alhaurino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: CD Alhaurino at 1.18 per game, Melilla B at 0.97.
  • Model gives CD Alhaurino a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
CD Alhaurino Clean Sheet 20%
Melilla B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Alhaurino Melilla B
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 9 9
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.18 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.11 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.40 0.89
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Alhaurino vs Melilla B
1:1
Sep 27, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Melilla B vs CD Alhaurino
0:0
Apr 16, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Melilla B vs CD Alhaurino
2:1
Nov 28, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Alhaurino vs Melilla B
3:3
Apr 25, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Melilla B vs CD Alhaurino
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Alhaurino Compare

Top Goalscorer Jarauta A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.7

Melilla B Compare

Top Goalscorer Ouzzani U. A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.81
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Alhaurino 36 / 100
Melilla B 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Alhaurino Melilla B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: CD Alhaurino scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Melilla B has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

CD Alhaurino went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Alhaurino VS Melilla B
1.38 Goals Scored 1.14
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.43
63% Over 1.5 57%
38% Over 2.5 43%
13% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Alhaurino

(Home)
27 Sept
Motril
2 : 0
CD Alhaurino
20 Sept
CD Alhaurino
2 : 1
Churriana de la Vega
13 Sept
Almeria B
2 : 0
CD Alhaurino
06 Sept
CD Alhaurino
0 : 0
Granada CF B
10 May
CD Alhaurino
1 : 1
Mancha
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Melilla B

(Away)
10 May
Huetor Tajar
3 : 1
Melilla B
06 May
Melilla B
0 : 0
Motril
25 Apr
Melilla B
5 : 1
Martos
19 Apr
Mijas Las Lagunas
4 : 1
Melilla B
11 Apr
Melilla B
0 : 1
Marbelli
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mijas Las Lagunas 34 19 9 6 46:24 66
2 Motril 34 18 11 5 55:29 65
3 Torre del Mar 34 14 13 7 37:26 55
4 Arenas Armilla 34 15 9 10 38:29 54
5 Churriana de la Vega 34 14 10 10 32:40 52
6 Marbelli 34 14 9 11 36:28 51
7 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 34 13 11 10 39:38 50
8 UD San Pedro 34 13 10 11 39:37 49
9 Atletico de Porcuna 34 14 4 16 41:39 46
10 Huetor Vega 34 12 9 13 43:42 45
11 Granada CF B 34 10 14 10 49:47 44
12 CD Alhaurino 34 11 10 13 41:41 43
13 Melilla B 34 9 12 13 30:32 39
14 Mancha 34 9 10 15 30:38 37
15 Huetor Tajar 34 9 10 15 40:44 37
16 Martos 34 9 10 15 32:48 37
17 CD Torreperogil 34 9 6 19 24:45 33
18 El Palo 34 6 9 19 28:53 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 (Play Offs)