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CD Alhaurino vs Melilla - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Ariza Y.
21' Event
Silva Reis R. W.
41' Event
Al Azami A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 9 game between CD Alhaurino and Melilla finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Melilla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
CD Alhaurino
15%
Draws
64%
Melilla
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Melilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • CD Alhaurino haven't matched Melilla's recent run of results.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Melilla taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 9 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
CD Alhaurino Clean Sheet 19%
Melilla Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Alhaurino Melilla
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 9 8
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.17 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Alhaurino vs Melilla
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Alhaurino Compare

Top Goalscorer Ariza Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Melilla Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva Reis R. W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Al Azami A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Alhaurino 10 / 100
Melilla 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Alhaurino Melilla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Melilla Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Alhaurino scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Melilla has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: CD Alhaurino stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Alhaurino VS Melilla
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Alhaurino

(Home)
04 Oct
CD Alhaurino
1 : 2
Melilla
27 Sept
Motril
2 : 0
CD Alhaurino
20 Sept
CD Alhaurino
2 : 1
Churriana de la Vega
13 Sept
Almeria B
2 : 0
CD Alhaurino
06 Sept
CD Alhaurino
0 : 0
Granada CF B
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Melilla

(Away)
04 Oct
CD Alhaurino
1 : 2
Melilla
27 Sept
Melilla
2 : 0
Malaga Juniors
20 Sept
Torre del Mar
1 : 2
Melilla
12 Sept
Melilla
3 : 0
Huetor Vega
09 Sept
Melilla
0 : 1
Conil
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Melilla 5 5 0 0 11:3 15
2 Marbelli 5 4 1 0 8:3 13
3 Arenas Armilla 5 3 2 0 8:4 11
4 Motril 5 3 2 0 8:4 11
5 Malaga B 5 3 1 1 11:4 10
6 Almeria B 5 3 1 1 9:3 10
7 UD San Pedro 5 3 0 2 7:8 9
8 Granada CF B 5 2 1 2 7:4 7
9 Churriana de la Vega 5 2 0 3 9:9 6
10 Atletico de Porcuna 5 2 0 3 6:14 6
11 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 5 1 2 2 5:6 5
12 Huetor Vega 5 1 2 2 7:9 5
13 Torre del Mar 5 1 1 3 3:5 4
14 Atletico de Marbella 5 1 1 3 2:5 4
15 CD Alhaurino 5 1 1 3 3:7 4
16 Cantoria 5 0 3 2 4:7 3
17 Mancha 5 0 2 3 2:7 2
18 Malaga Juniors 5 0 0 5 3:11 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 (Play Offs)