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CD Aluvion vs Aoiz

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Tercera Division - Group 15 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 15 2010/2011 game between CD Aluvion and Aoiz finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aoiz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
CD Aluvion
30%
Draws
62%
Aoiz
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aoiz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Aoiz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Aoiz's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 15 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
CD Aluvion Clean Sheet 20%
Aoiz Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Aluvion Aoiz
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 2 7
Draws 6 10
Losses 22 14
Goals Scored 0.83 1.1
Goals Conceded 2.4 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Aoiz vs CD Aluvion
3:1
Dec 3, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Aluvion vs Aoiz
3:1
Apr 17, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Aluvion vs Aoiz
0:1
Dec 31, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Aoiz vs CD Aluvion
0:1
Apr 17, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Aoiz vs CD Aluvion
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Aluvion 10 / 100
Aoiz 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Aluvion Aoiz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aoiz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aoiz has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

CD Aluvion found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

CD Aluvion has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Aoiz
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Aluvion

(Home)
12 May
Mutilvera
2 : 0
CD Aluvion
06 May
CD Aluvion
1 : 3
Cirbonero
27 Apr
Aoiz
3 : 1
CD Aluvion
22 Apr
CD Aluvion
0 : 6
Tudelano
14 Apr
Cortes
1 : 1
CD Aluvion
Page 1 of 6

Aoiz

(Away)
18 Sept
Huarte
0 : 0
Aoiz
11 Sept
Aoiz
2 : 0
Doneztebe FT
05 Sept
Pamplona
1 : 1
Aoiz
09 May
Aoiz
1 : 4
Izarra
03 May
Ezcabarte
1 : 3
Aoiz
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tudelano 38 28 6 4 87:24 90
2 Izarra 38 25 8 5 78:24 83
3 Valle Egues 38 19 9 10 57:46 66
4 Mutilvera 38 19 9 10 60:34 66
5 Txantrea 38 18 11 9 58:35 65
6 Iruna 38 16 13 9 52:36 61
7 AD San Juan 38 12 20 6 38:30 56
8 Cirbonero 38 15 8 15 51:46 53
9 CD Lourdes 38 15 8 15 52:56 53
10 Oberena 38 14 10 14 42:39 52
11 Pamplona 38 12 13 13 51:51 49
12 Murchante 38 11 12 15 48:57 45
13 Huarte 38 10 14 14 45:50 44
14 Aoiz 38 10 12 16 37:49 42
15 CD Aluvion 38 9 14 15 34:44 41
16 Idoya 38 10 11 17 51:78 41
17 CD Ardoi 38 9 11 18 29:57 38
18 Lagun Artea 38 10 7 21 40:79 37
19 CD River Ega 38 7 6 25 26:73 27
20 Pena Azagresa 38 5 10 23 34:62 25
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)