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CD Arganda vs Atl. Madrid C

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 7 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 7 2009/2010 game between CD Arganda and Atl. Madrid C finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Arganda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
CD Arganda
6%
Draws
90%
Atl. Madrid C
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Atl. Madrid C

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Atl. Madrid C come out ahead of CD Arganda on wins alone.
  • Model gives Atl. Madrid C a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 7 2009/2010 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
CD Arganda Clean Sheet 10%
Atl. Madrid C Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Arganda Atl. Madrid C
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 6 17
Draws 10 12
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 0 2.75
Goals Conceded 0 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Arganda vs Atl. Madrid C
3:2
Nov 29, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Atl. Madrid C vs CD Arganda
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Arganda 10 / 100
Atl. Madrid C 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Arganda Atl. Madrid C

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atl. Madrid C has conceded goals in 81% of their last 36 outings.

CD Arganda's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

CD Arganda went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Atl. Madrid C
0 Goals Scored 2.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rayo Vallecano B382510368:2385
2Parla382111665:3374
3Getafe B382010877:4170
4Trival Valderas382161177:4569
5CF Fuenlabrada382081052:3368
6Real Madrid C3818101059:4364
7Navalcarnero381761549:4857
8CD Mostoles3815111252:4256
9Rayo Majadahonda381661646:4754
10AD Colmenar381651753:5453
11Atl. Madrid C3814101455:5152
12San Fernando de Henares381481642:5850
13San Sebastian Reyes381481657:5750
14Atletico Pinto3812111543:6247
15Vallecas CF3812101646:5146
16Mexico3810131546:5343
17CD Arganda389121740:6139
18Santa Ana38862438:7330
19CD Ciempozuelos38662636:8024
20Galactico Pegaso38652727:7323