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CD Arganda vs Vallecas CF

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Tercera Division - Group 7 2009/2010
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 7 2009/2010 game between CD Arganda and Vallecas CF finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
CD Arganda
39%
Draws
31%
Vallecas CF
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vallecas CF come out ahead of CD Arganda on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 7 2009/2010 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 39%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
CD Arganda Clean Sheet 12%
Vallecas CF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Arganda Vallecas CF
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 6 10
Draws 10 10
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 2 1.5
Goals Conceded 2 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Arganda vs Vallecas CF
1:1
Nov 1, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Vallecas CF vs CD Arganda
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Arganda 29 / 100
Vallecas CF 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Arganda Vallecas CF

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vallecas CF has conceded goals in 92% of their last 36 outings.

Attacking prowess: CD Arganda scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

CD Arganda went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Arganda VS Vallecas CF
2 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
100% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rayo Vallecano B382510368:2385
2Parla382111665:3374
3Getafe B382010877:4170
4Trival Valderas382161177:4569
5CF Fuenlabrada382081052:3368
6Real Madrid C3818101059:4364
7Navalcarnero381761549:4857
8CD Mostoles3815111252:4256
9Rayo Majadahonda381661646:4754
10AD Colmenar381651753:5453
11Atl. Madrid C3814101455:5152
12San Fernando de Henares381481642:5850
13San Sebastian Reyes381481657:5750
14Atletico Pinto3812111543:6247
15Vallecas CF3812101646:5146
16Mexico3810131546:5343
17CD Arganda389121740:6139
18Santa Ana38862438:7330
19CD Ciempozuelos38662636:8024
20Galactico Pegaso38652727:7323