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CD Ariznabarra vs Aurrera Ondarroa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aurrera Ondarroa in this Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aurrera Ondarroa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
CD Ariznabarra
15%
Draws
36%
Aurrera Ondarroa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Ariznabarra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Aurrera Ondarroa have won more games recently than CD Ariznabarra.
  • CD Ariznabarra are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
CD Ariznabarra Clean Sheet 20%
Aurrera Ondarroa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Ariznabarra Aurrera Ondarroa
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 7
Draws 9 8
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 0.9 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
CD Ariznabarra vs Aurrera Ondarroa
1:2
Apr 11, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Aurrera Ondarroa vs CD Ariznabarra
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Ariznabarra 42 / 100
Aurrera Ondarroa 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Ariznabarra Aurrera Ondarroa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aurrera Ondarroa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Difficult form: Aurrera Ondarroa registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

CD Ariznabarra scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Aurrera Ondarroa
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Ariznabarra

(Home)
12 Jun
CD Ariznabarra
2 : 3
Balmaseda
05 Jun
Somorrostro
1 : 1
CD Ariznabarra
29 May
CD Ariznabarra
5 : 1
Urgatzi
22 May
Tolosa
4 : 0
CD Ariznabarra
16 May
CD Ariznabarra
1 : 2
Aurrera Ondarroa
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Aurrera Ondarroa

(Away)
11 May
Urduliz FT
1 : 3
Aurrera Ondarroa
05 May
Aurrera Ondarroa
1 : 2
Basconia
01 May
Anorga
3 : 2
Aurrera Ondarroa
27 Apr
Aurrera Ondarroa
1 : 3
Alaves C
20 Apr
SD Deusto
3 : 0
Aurrera Ondarroa
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