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CD Ariznabarra vs SCD Durango

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Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021
CD Ariznabarra Logo

CD Ariznabarra

0 - 0
FT
SCD Durango Logo

SCD Durango

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
CD Ariznabarra
30%
Draws
47%
SCD Durango
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SCD Durango

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • CD Ariznabarra haven't matched SCD Durango's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans SCD Durango's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
CD Ariznabarra Clean Sheet 17%
SCD Durango Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Ariznabarra SCD Durango
Matches Played 30 42
Wins 5 16
Draws 9 12
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 0.9 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
CD Ariznabarra vs SCD Durango
0:0
Nov 14, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SCD Durango vs CD Ariznabarra
0:1
Feb 1, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SCD Durango vs CD Ariznabarra
9:0
Sep 15, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
CD Ariznabarra vs SCD Durango
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Ariznabarra 12 / 100
SCD Durango 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Ariznabarra SCD Durango

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SCD Durango Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

SCD Durango has conceded goals in 64% of their last 42 outings.

CD Ariznabarra's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: CD Ariznabarra stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS SCD Durango
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Ariznabarra

(Home)
12 Jun
CD Ariznabarra
2 : 3
Balmaseda
05 Jun
Somorrostro
1 : 1
CD Ariznabarra
29 May
CD Ariznabarra
5 : 1
Urgatzi
22 May
Tolosa
4 : 0
CD Ariznabarra
16 May
CD Ariznabarra
1 : 2
Aurrera Ondarroa
Page 1 of 6

SCD Durango

(Away)
19 Sept
SCD Durango
0 : 0
UD Aretxabaleta
13 Sept
Santurtzi
2 : 1
SCD Durango
05 Sept
SCD Durango
3 : 3
San Ignacio
19 Aug
SCD Durango
4 : 1
Pasaia
09 May
SCD Durango
4 : 1
Santurtzi
Page 1 of 9

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gernika Club 20 13 4 3 39:16 43
2 Real Sociedad C 20 12 4 4 48:27 40
3 Sestao 20 12 3 5 40:13 39
4 SD Deusto 20 11 3 6 30:24 36
5 Santutxu FC 20 8 5 7 20:23 29
6 Beasain 20 6 9 5 20:14 27
7 Tolosa 20 6 6 8 21:26 24
8 Aurrera Ondarroa 20 5 5 10 23:31 20
9 Balmaseda 20 3 9 8 22:27 18
10 Somorrostro 20 4 5 11 20:31 17
11 Urgatzi 20 3 1 16 11:62 10
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Vitoria 20 9 8 3 20:4 35
2 Urduliz FT 20 9 8 3 28:18 35
3 Pasaia 20 9 7 4 22:14 34
4 Basconia 20 7 9 4 24:15 30
5 Anaitasuna FT 20 7 9 4 20:19 30
6 San Ignacio 20 7 8 5 19:19 29
7 Santurtzi 20 6 5 9 18:27 23
8 SCD Durango 20 5 7 8 17:20 22
9 Sodupe 20 4 8 8 21:23 20
10 CD Ariznabarra 20 3 7 10 12:28 16
11 Lagun Onak 20 3 6 11 17:31 15
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)