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CD AS Pontes vs Barco

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Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 game between CD AS Pontes and Barco finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Barco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
CD AS Pontes
30%
Draws
23%
Barco
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CD AS Pontes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Barco come out ahead of CD AS Pontes on wins alone.
  • Model gives CD AS Pontes a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Barco have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
CD AS Pontes Clean Sheet 16%
Barco Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD AS Pontes Barco
Matches Played 30 40
Wins 4 17
Draws 10 9
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Barco vs CD AS Pontes
3:2
Apr 18, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD AS Pontes vs Barco
2:3
Mar 22, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD AS Pontes vs Barco
0:0
Nov 2, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Barco vs CD AS Pontes
2:1
Mar 5, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Barco vs CD AS Pontes
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD AS Pontes 84 / 100
Barco 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD AS Pontes Barco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD AS Pontes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Barco let in goals in 65% of their last 40 matches.

Solid form: CD AS Pontes remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Barco registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Barco
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CD AS Pontes

(Home)
20 Jun
CD AS Pontes
1 : 1
UD Ourense
13 Jun
Atios
0 : 4
CD AS Pontes
06 Jun
CD AS Pontes
1 : 1
Pontellas
30 May
Barco
3 : 2
CD AS Pontes
23 May
CD AS Pontes
1 : 1
Ourense CF
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Barco

(Away)
12 Sept
Barco
1 : 2
Silva SD
06 Sept
Arenteiro
0 : 1
Barco
19 Aug
UD Ourense
2 : 0
Barco
10 May
Estradense
3 : 1
Barco
03 May
Barco
1 : 2
Somozas
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