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CD AS Pontes vs CD Castro

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 game between CD AS Pontes and CD Castro finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
CD AS Pontes
35%
Draws
9%
CD Castro
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: CD AS Pontes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • CD Castro carry the better recent record into this one.
  • CD AS Pontes are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
CD AS Pontes Clean Sheet 16%
CD Castro Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD AS Pontes CD Castro
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 4 8
Draws 11 6
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 22, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD AS Pontes vs CD Castro
1:1
Sep 4, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Castro vs CD AS Pontes
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD AS Pontes 84 / 100
CD Castro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD AS Pontes CD Castro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD AS Pontes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Castro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Solid form: CD AS Pontes remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: CD Castro registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD AS Pontes VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CD AS Pontes

(Home)
20 Jun
CD AS Pontes
1 : 1
UD Ourense
13 Jun
Atios
0 : 4
CD AS Pontes
06 Jun
CD AS Pontes
1 : 1
Pontellas
30 May
Barco
3 : 2
CD AS Pontes
23 May
CD AS Pontes
1 : 1
Ourense CF
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CD Castro

(Away)
14 May
Celtiga
3 : 0
CD Castro
07 May
CD Castro
0 : 1
Ribadumia
30 Apr
Deportivo Fabril
4 : 1
CD Castro
23 Apr
CD Castro
1 : 1
Barbadas-Bentraces
16 Apr
SD Negreira
1 : 0
CD Castro
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