Sport Picks
CD AS Pontes vs Deportivo Fabril
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 
AI Match Summary
CD AS Pontes in this Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD AS Pontes.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
35%
37%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Deportivo Fabril
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
28%
/ Low Confidence
- CD AS Pontes haven't matched Deportivo Fabril's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
CD AS Pontes Clean Sheet 68%
Deportivo Fabril Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CD AS Pontes | Deportivo Fabril |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 4 | 16 |
| Draws | 10 | 8 |
| Losses | 16 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.65 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.73 | 0.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.85 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 14, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD AS Pontes vs Deportivo Fabril
3:2
Nov 22, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Deportivo Fabril vs CD AS Pontes
2:0
Apr 5, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD AS Pontes vs Deportivo Fabril
0:0
Nov 17, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Deportivo Fabril vs CD AS Pontes
2:1
May 7, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD AS Pontes vs Deportivo Fabril
1:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CD AS Pontes 41 / 100
Deportivo Fabril 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CD AS Pontes Deportivo Fabril
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CD AS Pontes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Deportivo Fabril has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Solid form: CD AS Pontes remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
CD AS Pontes scored in 57% of their last 30 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Deportivo Fabril
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
CD AS Pontes
(Home) 20 Jun
CD AS Pontes
1 : 1 UD Ourense
13 Jun
Atios
0 : 4 CD AS Pontes
06 Jun
CD AS Pontes
1 : 1 Pontellas
30 May
Barco
3 : 2 CD AS Pontes
23 May
CD AS Pontes
1 : 1 Ourense CF
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20 Jun
CD AS Pontes
1 : 1 UD Ourense
06 Jun
CD AS Pontes
1 : 1 Pontellas
23 May
CD AS Pontes
1 : 1 Ourense CF
02 May
CD AS Pontes
1 : 1 Atios
18 Apr
CD AS Pontes
2 : 3 Barco
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Deportivo Fabril
(Away) 04 Oct
UD Logrones
2 : 1 Deportivo Fabril
26 Sept
Deportivo Fabril
2 : 0 Real Union
20 Sept
Ath Bilbao B
2 : 2 Deportivo Fabril
13 Sept
Deportivo Fabril
2 : 1 Ponferradina
06 Sept
Deportivo Fabril
1 : 1 Cacereno
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04 Oct
UD Logrones
2 : 1 Deportivo Fabril
20 Sept
Ath Bilbao B
2 : 2 Deportivo Fabril
29 Aug
AD Merida
1 : 0 Deportivo Fabril
08 Aug
Atletico Astorga
2 : 2 Deportivo Fabril
01 Aug
Lugo
2 : 0 Deportivo Fabril
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bergantinos | 22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 37:16 | 48 |
| 2 | Lugo B | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 34:17 | 42 |
| 3 | Somozas | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 41:21 | 41 |
| 4 | Racing Club Villalbes | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 34:26 | 40 |
| 5 | Deportivo Fabril | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 41:27 | 32 |
| 6 | Silva SD | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 21:20 | 30 |
| 7 | Arzua | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 32:23 | 29 |
| 8 | Viveiro | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 25:39 | 28 |
| 9 | Agrupacion Estudiantil | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 27:45 | 20 |
| 10 | CD AS Pontes | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 18:40 | 19 |
| 11 | Fisterra | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 22:35 | 17 |
| 12 | Paiosaco | 22 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 16:39 | 12 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arenteiro | 22 | 13 | 8 | 1 | 33:13 | 47 |
| 2 | Arosa SC | 22 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 27:14 | 41 |
| 3 | Alondras | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 31:15 | 37 |
| 4 | Estradense | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 35:34 | 31 |
| 5 | CD Choco | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 28:22 | 31 |
| 6 | Rapido de Bouzas | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 25:25 | 31 |
| 7 | Barco | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 26:27 | 30 |
| 8 | Ourense CF | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 33:29 | 28 |
| 9 | Ribadumia | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 24:36 | 26 |
| 10 | UD Ourense | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25:32 | 25 |
| 11 | Atios | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 18:32 | 20 |
| 12 | Pontellas | 22 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 12:38 | 9 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)
