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CD AS Pontes vs SD Negreira

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CD AS Pontes in this Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD AS Pontes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
CD AS Pontes
30%
Draws
35%
SD Negreira
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • SD Negreira have won more games recently than CD AS Pontes.
  • Win probability leans CD AS Pontes's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 48%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
CD AS Pontes Clean Sheet 10%
SD Negreira Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD AS Pontes SD Negreira
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 4 9
Draws 11 7
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.27 2.21
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD AS Pontes vs SD Negreira
2:1
Dec 3, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
SD Negreira vs CD AS Pontes
0:0
Feb 21, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
SD Negreira vs CD AS Pontes
1:1
Oct 4, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD AS Pontes vs SD Negreira
3:0
Mar 2, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
SD Negreira vs CD AS Pontes
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD AS Pontes 74 / 100
SD Negreira 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD AS Pontes SD Negreira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD AS Pontes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SD Negreira has conceded goals in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

CD AS Pontes went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: SD Negreira registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD AS Pontes VS SD Negreira
0.88 Goals Scored 1.67
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.67
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

CD AS Pontes

(Home)
20 Jun
CD AS Pontes
1 : 1
UD Ourense
13 Jun
Atios
0 : 4
CD AS Pontes
06 Jun
CD AS Pontes
1 : 1
Pontellas
30 May
Barco
3 : 2
CD AS Pontes
23 May
CD AS Pontes
1 : 1
Ourense CF
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SD Negreira

(Away)
28 Oct
SD Negreira
0 : 3
Real Sociedad
04 Oct
SD Negreira
4 : 0
Textil Escudo
27 Sept
Textil Escudo
2 : 1
SD Negreira
13 May
Barco
5 : 2
SD Negreira
06 May
SD Negreira
2 : 1
Somozas
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