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CD Ayense vs Dragones de Oaxaca

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie B 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Mendez C.
90' Event
Quintero E.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Premier Serie B 2025/2026 game between CD Ayense and Dragones de Oaxaca finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dragones de Oaxaca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
CD Ayense
30%
Draws
47%
Dragones de Oaxaca
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dragones de Oaxaca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CD Ayense come out ahead of Dragones de Oaxaca on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Dragones de Oaxaca's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Liga Premier Serie B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
CD Ayense Clean Sheet 20%
Dragones de Oaxaca Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Ayense Dragones de Oaxaca
Matches Played 30 24
Wins 14 9
Draws 4 8
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.67 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.2 0.92
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Liga Premier Serie B
Dragones de Oaxaca vs CD Ayense
0:0
Oct 19, 2025 Liga Premier Serie B
CD Ayense vs Dragones de Oaxaca
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Ayense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Dragones de Oaxaca Compare

Top Goalscorer Mendez C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Quintero E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Ayense 24 / 100
Dragones de Oaxaca 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Ayense Dragones de Oaxaca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dragones de Oaxaca Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Ayense found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

CD Ayense has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Dragones de Oaxaca has conceded goals in 58% of their last 24 outings.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

CD Ayense VS Dragones de Oaxaca
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Ayense

(Home)
19 Sept
Cruz Azul Lagunas
2 : 1
CD Ayense
05 Sept
Gorilas de Juanacatlan
1 : 0
CD Ayense
30 Aug
CD Ayense
2 : 0
Huracanes Izcalli
28 Mar
FC Racing
2 : 2
CD Ayense
26 Mar
CD Ayense
1 : 1
FC Racing
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Dragones de Oaxaca

(Away)
20 Sept
Dragones de Oaxaca
3 : 0
Canoneros FC
13 Sept
Acambaro
1 : 1
Dragones de Oaxaca
06 Sept
Dragones de Oaxaca
2 : 1
Halcones Negros
29 Aug
Ciervos
0 : 2
Dragones de Oaxaca
28 Mar
Poza Rica
2 : 1
Dragones de Oaxaca
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Artesanos Metepec 18 13 2 3 35:14 42
2 Poza Rica 18 9 3 6 24:26 31
3 FC Racing 18 8 8 2 23:11 30
4 Gorilas de Juanacatlan 18 8 4 6 25:16 30
5 Acambaro 18 8 2 8 30:32 30
6 CD Ayense 18 8 2 8 28:20 28
7 Dragones de Oaxaca 18 6 6 6 23:16 28
8 Aguacateros CD Uruapan 18 7 3 8 31:31 27
9 Caja Oblatos 18 4 1 13 9:38 12
10 Huracanes Izcalli 18 3 1 14 23:47 9
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)