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CD Ayense vs Gorilas de Juanacatlan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie B 2025/2026
CD Ayense Logo

CD Ayense

1 - 2
FT
Gorilas de Juanacatlan Logo

Gorilas de Juanacatlan

Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Anderson J.
68' Event
Rios S.
78' Event
Tabarez M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gorilas de Juanacatlan in this Liga Premier Serie B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gorilas de Juanacatlan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
CD Ayense
15%
Draws
59%
Gorilas de Juanacatlan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gorilas de Juanacatlan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: CD Ayense at 1.55 per game, Gorilas de Juanacatlan at 1.54.
  • 59% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Gorilas de Juanacatlan have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
CD Ayense Clean Sheet 25%
Gorilas de Juanacatlan Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Ayense Gorilas de Juanacatlan
Matches Played 29 26
Wins 12 12
Draws 4 5
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.55 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.21 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Liga Premier Serie B
Gorilas de Juanacatlan vs CD Ayense
1:0
Mar 7, 2026 Liga Premier Serie B
Gorilas de Juanacatlan vs CD Ayense
0:0
Nov 9, 2025 Liga Premier Serie B
CD Ayense vs Gorilas de Juanacatlan
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Ayense Compare

Top Goalscorer Anderson J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Gorilas de Juanacatlan Compare

Top Goalscorer Rios S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tabarez M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Ayense 37 / 100
Gorilas de Juanacatlan 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Ayense Gorilas de Juanacatlan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gorilas de Juanacatlan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: CD Ayense scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Gorilas de Juanacatlan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 26 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.33 goals per match.

Recent resilience: CD Ayense stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Ayense VS Gorilas de Juanacatlan
1.13 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Ayense

(Home)
04 Oct
CD Ayense
1 : 2
Racing de Veracruz 2
19 Sept
Cruz Azul Lagunas
2 : 1
CD Ayense
05 Sept
Gorilas de Juanacatlan
1 : 0
CD Ayense
30 Aug
CD Ayense
2 : 0
Huracanes Izcalli
28 Mar
Racing de Veracruz 2
2 : 2
CD Ayense
Page 1 of 6

Gorilas de Juanacatlan

(Away)
03 Oct
Gorilas de Juanacatlan
6 : 2
Heroes de Zaci 2
20 Sept
Racing de Veracruz 2
3 : 2
Gorilas de Juanacatlan
05 Sept
Gorilas de Juanacatlan
1 : 0
CD Ayense
29 Aug
Cruz Azul Lagunas
1 : 0
Gorilas de Juanacatlan
04 Apr
Artesanos Metepec
0 : 1
Gorilas de Juanacatlan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Artesanos Metepec 18 13 2 3 35:14 42
2 Poza Rica 18 9 3 6 24:26 31
3 Racing de Veracruz 2 18 8 8 2 23:11 30
4 Gorilas de Juanacatlan 18 8 4 6 25:16 30
5 Acambaro 18 8 2 8 30:32 30
6 CD Ayense 18 8 2 8 28:20 28
7 Dragones de Oaxaca 18 6 6 6 23:16 28
8 Aguacateros CD Uruapan 18 7 3 8 31:31 27
9 Caja Oblatos 18 4 1 13 9:38 12
10 Huracanes Izcalli 18 3 1 14 23:47 9
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)