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CD Azuaga vs Don Alvaro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Moro Gonzalez A.
29' Event
Opara L.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2023/2024 game between CD Azuaga and Don Alvaro finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Azuaga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
CD Azuaga
15%
Draws
5%
Don Alvaro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Azuaga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • CD Azuaga carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans CD Azuaga's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • CD Azuaga have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
CD Azuaga Clean Sheet 20%
Don Alvaro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Azuaga Don Alvaro
Matches Played 42 30
Wins 27 6
Draws 7 9
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.74 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.69 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Azuaga vs Don Alvaro
2:0
Dec 16, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Don Alvaro vs CD Azuaga
1:1
Jan 29, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Don Alvaro vs CD Azuaga
0:4
Sep 25, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Azuaga vs Don Alvaro
2:0
Feb 6, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Azuaga vs Don Alvaro
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Azuaga Compare

Top Goalscorer Moro Gonzalez A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Opara L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Don Alvaro Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Azuaga 85 / 100
Don Alvaro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Azuaga Don Alvaro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Azuaga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: CD Azuaga scored in 88% of their last 42 outings.

Don Alvaro let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

CD Azuaga went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

CD Azuaga VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Azuaga

(Home)
04 Oct
CD Azuaga
4 : 0
Guadiana
27 Sept
CD Azuaga
2 : 0
Jerez CF
20 Sept
Cabeza del Buey
1 : 2
CD Azuaga
13 Sept
CD Azuaga
2 : 0
Montijo
06 Sept
SP Villafranca
1 : 4
CD Azuaga
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Don Alvaro

(Away)
26 Jul
Don Alvaro
0 : 4
AD Merida
20 Jul
Don Alvaro
0 : 4
AD Merida
10 May
Pueblonuevo
2 : 2
Don Alvaro
05 May
Don Alvaro
0 : 1
RCP Valverdeno
28 Apr
CD Azuaga
2 : 0
Don Alvaro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Don Benito 34 23 7 4 71:13 76
2 CD Coria 34 19 12 3 58:20 69
3 CD Azuaga 34 17 11 6 48:31 62
4 SP Villafranca 34 15 10 9 45:26 55
5 Moralo 34 15 8 11 55:44 53
6 Castuera 34 15 7 12 49:37 52
7 CD Diocesano 34 14 7 13 50:46 49
8 Jaraiz 34 14 4 16 51:52 46
9 Pueblonuevo 34 12 7 15 35:45 43
10 CD Calamonte 34 9 15 10 40:52 42
11 Jerez CF 34 11 9 14 41:52 42
12 Olivenza FC 34 10 11 13 32:41 41
13 Arroyo 34 10 11 13 33:39 41
14 CF Trujillo 34 8 14 12 30:38 38
15 Don Alvaro 34 7 11 16 30:50 32
16 RCP Valverdeno 34 8 8 18 37:58 32
17 Montehermoso 34 7 11 16 33:63 32
18 Fuente de Cantos 34 4 13 17 28:59 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2023/2024 (Play Offs)