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CD Azuaga vs Montijo

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Tercera RFEF - Group 14
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Match Events

25' Event
Volo L.
78' Event
Juaniyo Gomez

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 14 game between CD Azuaga and Montijo finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Azuaga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
CD Azuaga
15%
Draws
27%
Montijo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Azuaga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CD Azuaga come out ahead of Montijo on wins alone.
  • Model gives CD Azuaga a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors CD Azuaga here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
CD Azuaga Clean Sheet 68%
Montijo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Azuaga Montijo
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 18 10
Draws 6 6
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.58 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.84 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Azuaga vs Montijo
2:0
May 2, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Azuaga vs Montijo
4:2
Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Montijo vs CD Azuaga
2:1
Feb 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Azuaga vs Montijo
1:0
Oct 13, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Montijo vs CD Azuaga
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Azuaga Compare

Top Goalscorer Volo L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Juaniyo Gomez
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Montijo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Azuaga 95 / 100
Montijo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Azuaga Montijo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Azuaga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Azuaga's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Montijo conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

CD Azuaga went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

CD Azuaga VS Montijo
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Azuaga

(Home)
27 Sept
CD Azuaga
2 : 0
Jerez CF
20 Sept
Cabeza del Buey
1 : 2
CD Azuaga
13 Sept
CD Azuaga
2 : 0
Montijo
06 Sept
SP Villafranca
1 : 4
CD Azuaga
23 May
Moralo
0 : 0
CD Azuaga
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Montijo

(Away)
27 Sept
Villanovense
2 : 0
Montijo
20 Sept
Montijo
3 : 1
Guadiana
13 Sept
CD Azuaga
2 : 0
Montijo
06 Sept
Montijo
1 : 3
Cabeza del Buey
10 May
Montijo
2 : 1
Santa Amalia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Azuaga 4 4 0 0 10:2 12
2 Moralo 4 3 1 0 8:4 10
3 AD Llerenense 4 3 1 0 3:0 10
4 Castuera 4 3 0 1 8:3 9
5 Puebla de la Calzada 4 2 1 1 8:4 7
6 CD Zafra 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
7 Gevora 4 2 1 1 7:8 7
8 Santa Amalia 4 1 3 0 5:2 6
9 Villanovense 4 2 0 2 4:3 6
10 Cabeza del Buey 4 1 1 2 5:5 4
11 Jaraiz 4 1 1 2 6:7 4
12 Jerez CF 4 1 1 2 4:6 4
13 Quintana 4 1 1 2 2:5 4
14 SP Villafranca 4 1 0 3 4:7 3
15 Montijo 4 1 0 3 4:8 3
16 Pueblonuevo 4 0 2 2 5:10 2
17 Guadiana 4 0 1 3 2:7 1
18 UP Plasencia 4 0 1 3 2:8 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 (Play Offs)