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CD Azuaga vs Montijo

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Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026
CD Azuaga Logo

CD Azuaga

4 - 2
FT
Montijo Logo

Montijo

Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Yaw L. J.
32' Event
Vera A.
34' Event
Peralta C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

CD Azuaga in this Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Azuaga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
CD Azuaga
15%
Draws
32%
Montijo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Azuaga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CD Azuaga lately — more wins on the board than Montijo.
  • Win probability leans CD Azuaga's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • CD Azuaga have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
CD Azuaga Clean Sheet 20%
Montijo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Azuaga Montijo
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 18 10
Draws 6 6
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.58 1.21
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Azuaga vs Montijo
2:0
May 2, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Azuaga vs Montijo
4:2
Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Montijo vs CD Azuaga
2:1
Feb 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Azuaga vs Montijo
1:0
Oct 13, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Montijo vs CD Azuaga
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Azuaga Compare

Top Goalscorer Yaw L. J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vera A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Montijo Compare

Top Goalscorer Peralta C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pena M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Azuaga 85 / 100
Montijo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Azuaga Montijo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Azuaga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Azuaga scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Montijo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

CD Azuaga went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Azuaga VS Montijo
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Azuaga

(Home)
20 Sept
Cabeza del Buey
1 : 2
CD Azuaga
13 Sept
CD Azuaga
2 : 0
Montijo
06 Sept
SP Villafranca
1 : 4
CD Azuaga
23 May
Moralo
0 : 0
CD Azuaga
17 May
CD Azuaga
0 : 1
Moralo
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Montijo

(Away)
20 Sept
Montijo
3 : 1
Guadiana
13 Sept
CD Azuaga
2 : 0
Montijo
06 Sept
Montijo
1 : 3
Cabeza del Buey
10 May
Montijo
2 : 1
Santa Amalia
02 May
CD Azuaga
4 : 2
Montijo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Don Benito 34 21 8 5 70:22 71
2 CD Badajoz 34 23 5 6 64:27 71
3 Moralo 34 17 11 6 54:32 62
4 CD Azuaga 34 18 8 8 53:31 62
5 Jaraiz 34 16 11 7 53:33 59
6 Cabeza del Buey 34 15 12 7 45:29 57
7 SP Villafranca 34 16 7 11 45:40 55
8 Villanovense 34 15 8 11 45:36 53
9 Montijo 34 13 7 14 43:42 46
10 Jerez CF 34 8 17 9 56:51 41
11 AD Llerenense 34 11 8 15 35:44 41
12 Puebla de la Calzada 34 9 11 14 35:48 38
13 Santa Amalia 34 9 7 18 30:52 34
14 Gevora 34 8 9 17 32:53 33
15 Pueblonuevo 34 9 6 19 29:55 33
16 CD Diocesano 34 6 12 16 33:63 30
17 Montehermoso 34 5 8 21 24:66 23
18 CD Calamonte 34 3 13 18 25:47 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 (Play Offs)