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CD Badajoz vs Cacereno

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Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Gonzalez C.
72' Event
Deco

AI Match Summary

Cacereno in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cacereno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
CD Badajoz
30%
Draws
39%
Cacereno
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cacereno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Medium Confidence
  • CD Badajoz have won more games recently than Cacereno.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on CD Badajoz taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
CD Badajoz Clean Sheet 20%
Cacereno Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Badajoz Cacereno
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 24 11
Draws 5 11
Losses 3 9
Goals Scored 2.38 2
Goals Conceded 0.25 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 30, 2025 Club Friendly
CD Badajoz vs Cacereno
0:2
Aug 14, 2024 Club Friendly
CD Badajoz vs Cacereno
2:1
Mar 23, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Cacereno vs CD Badajoz
1:1
Nov 12, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
CD Badajoz vs Cacereno
2:0
Aug 19, 2023 Club Friendly
Cacereno vs CD Badajoz
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Badajoz Compare

Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Cacereno Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Deco
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Badajoz 36 / 100
Cacereno 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Badajoz Cacereno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Badajoz's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Cacereno's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

CD Badajoz went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Badajoz VS Cacereno
2.38 Goals Scored 2
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Badajoz

(Home)
05 Aug
CD Badajoz
0 : 3
CD Coria
20 Jun
CD Cuarte
1 : 1
CD Badajoz
14 Jun
CD Badajoz
2 : 1
CD Cuarte
07 Jun
CD Badajoz
0 : 0
Moralo
31 May
Moralo
0 : 2
CD Badajoz
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Cacereno

(Away)
05 Aug
Cacereno
1 : 0
Guadalajara
29 Jul
Villanovense
0 : 2
Cacereno
24 Jul
Cacereno
1 : 1
Jaen
23 May
Cacereno
1 : 2
CF Talavera
17 May
Zamora
1 : 2
Cacereno
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