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CD Badajoz vs Gevora

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Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Alegria A.
44' Event
Alegria A.
75' Event
Alegria A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 game between CD Badajoz and Gevora finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Badajoz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
CD Badajoz
30%
Draws
33%
Gevora
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CD Badajoz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Medium Confidence
  • CD Badajoz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on CD Badajoz taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
CD Badajoz Clean Sheet 20%
Gevora Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Badajoz Gevora
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 21 6
Draws 5 9
Losses 3 14
Goals Scored 2.88 0.86
Goals Conceded 0.38 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 1.43

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Badajoz vs Gevora
3:0
Jan 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Gevora vs CD Badajoz
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Badajoz Compare

Top Goalscorer Alegria A.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.44

Gevora Compare

Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Badajoz 40 / 100
Gevora 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Badajoz Gevora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: CD Badajoz scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Gevora let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: CD Badajoz stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Badajoz VS Gevora
2.88 Goals Scored 0.86
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.43
88% Over 1.5 71%
75% Over 2.5 57%
38% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Badajoz

(Home)
05 Aug
CD Badajoz
0 : 3
CD Coria
20 Jun
CD Cuarte
1 : 1
CD Badajoz
14 Jun
CD Badajoz
2 : 1
CD Cuarte
07 Jun
CD Badajoz
0 : 0
Moralo
31 May
Moralo
0 : 2
CD Badajoz
Page 1 of 6

Gevora

(Away)
10 May
CD Badajoz
3 : 0
Gevora
03 May
Gevora
1 : 1
Pueblonuevo
26 Apr
Montijo
0 : 1
Gevora
19 Apr
Gevora
2 : 1
Moralo
12 Apr
CD Diocesano
2 : 1
Gevora
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Don Benito 34 21 8 5 70:22 71
2 CD Badajoz 34 23 5 6 64:27 71
3 Moralo 34 17 11 6 54:32 62
4 CD Azuaga 34 18 8 8 53:31 62
5 Jaraiz 34 16 11 7 53:33 59
6 Cabeza del Buey 34 15 12 7 45:29 57
7 SP Villafranca 34 16 7 11 45:40 55
8 Villanovense 34 15 8 11 45:36 53
9 Montijo 34 13 7 14 43:42 46
10 Jerez CF 34 8 17 9 56:51 41
11 AD Llerenense 34 11 8 15 35:44 41
12 Puebla de la Calzada 34 9 11 14 35:48 38
13 Santa Amalia 34 9 7 18 30:52 34
14 Gevora 34 8 9 17 32:53 33
15 Pueblonuevo 34 9 6 19 29:55 33
16 CD Diocesano 34 6 12 16 33:63 30
17 Montehermoso 34 5 8 21 24:66 23
18 CD Calamonte 34 3 13 18 25:47 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 (Play Offs)