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CD Badajoz vs Jaraiz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Bravo C.
81' Event
Bermudez J.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

CD Badajoz in this Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
CD Badajoz
30%
Draws
23%
Jaraiz
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CD Badajoz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • CD Badajoz have won more games recently than Jaraiz.
  • Win probability leans CD Badajoz's way, sitting at 60%.
  • CD Badajoz have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor CD Badajoz, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
CD Badajoz Clean Sheet 20%
Jaraiz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Badajoz Jaraiz
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 20 10
Draws 6 10
Losses 4 9
Goals Scored 2.07 1.28
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Badajoz vs Jaraiz
2:0
May 17, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Jaraiz vs CD Badajoz
1:0
Apr 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Jaraiz vs CD Badajoz
1:4
Dec 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Badajoz vs Jaraiz
2:1
Mar 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Jaraiz vs CD Badajoz
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Badajoz Compare

Top Goalscorer Bravo C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Jaraiz Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Badajoz 58 / 100
Jaraiz 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Badajoz Jaraiz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Badajoz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Badajoz scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Jaraiz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: CD Badajoz stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Badajoz VS Jaraiz
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 67%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Badajoz

(Home)
04 Oct
Sevilla B
2 : 2
CD Badajoz
27 Sept
Las Palmas B
0 : 0
CD Badajoz
20 Sept
CD Badajoz
0 : 1
Betis B
13 Sept
Xerez CD
1 : 2
CD Badajoz
06 Sept
CD Badajoz
2 : 1
Tenerife B
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Jaraiz

(Away)
04 Oct
Montijo
2 : 0
Jaraiz
27 Sept
Jaraiz
2 : 1
SP Villafranca
19 Sept
AD Llerenense
1 : 0
Jaraiz
13 Sept
Jaraiz
2 : 3
Moralo
06 Sept
Jaraiz
2 : 2
Pueblonuevo
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
CD Badajoz 2
Jaraiz 1
Moralo 1
CD Azuaga 0
Final
CD Badajoz 2
Moralo 0