Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CD Badajoz vs Marbella - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CD Badajoz host Marbella in the Segunda RFEF - Group 4. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Marbella have shipped 1.86 goals a game lately, while CD Badajoz have conceded 0.83 and scored 2.03. Head-to-head, CD Badajoz have won 1 to Marbella's 0, with 4 draws. They last met on Apr 12, 2020, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.73 - 0.99) back CD Badajoz to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
CD Badajoz
35%
Draws
25%
Marbella
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: CD Badajoz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • CD Badajoz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans CD Badajoz's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 79.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
CD Badajoz Clean Sheet 68%
Marbella Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Badajoz Marbella
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 19 7
Draws 7 3
Losses 4 18
Goals Scored 2.03 1.14
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2020 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Marbella vs CD Badajoz
0:0
Nov 24, 2019 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
CD Badajoz vs Marbella
1:0
Feb 24, 2019 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Marbella vs CD Badajoz
0:0
Oct 7, 2018 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
CD Badajoz vs Marbella
0:0
Mar 11, 2018 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
CD Badajoz vs Marbella
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Badajoz 59 / 100
Marbella 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Badajoz Marbella

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Badajoz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Badajoz found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Marbella conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

CD Badajoz went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 0.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

CD Badajoz VS Marbella
1.75 Goals Scored 0.86
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.71
88% Over 1.5 71%
50% Over 2.5 57%
25% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Badajoz

(Home)
04 Oct
Sevilla B
2 : 2
CD Badajoz
27 Sept
Las Palmas B
0 : 0
CD Badajoz
20 Sept
CD Badajoz
0 : 1
Betis B
13 Sept
Xerez CD
1 : 2
CD Badajoz
06 Sept
CD Badajoz
2 : 1
Tenerife B
Page 1 of 6

Marbella

(Away)
04 Oct
Marbella
0 : 2
Betis B
27 Sept
Puente Genil
0 : 0
Marbella
20 Sept
Marbella
4 : 1
Atletico Central
13 Sept
Sevilla B
3 : 0
Marbella
06 Sept
Marbella
2 : 2
Sanluqueno
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Betis B 5 4 1 0 8:0 13
2 Recreativo Huelva 5 4 0 1 10:4 12
3 Don Benito 5 3 1 1 7:4 10
4 Tenerife B 5 3 0 2 9:7 9
5 Ciudad de Lucena 5 2 2 1 7:4 8
6 Sevilla B 5 2 2 1 8:6 8
7 CD Badajoz 5 2 2 1 6:5 8
8 CD Estepona 5 2 1 2 7:7 7
9 Linares 5 2 1 2 6:7 7
10 Mijas Las Lagunas 5 1 3 1 10:10 6
11 Sanluqueno 5 1 3 1 7:7 6
12 Atletico Central 5 2 0 3 6:8 6
13 Xerez CD 5 1 2 2 3:4 5
14 Marbella 5 1 2 2 6:8 5
15 Puente Genil 5 1 1 3 5:5 4
16 Las Palmas B 5 1 1 3 1:8 4
17 Tamaraceite 5 1 0 4 4:11 3
18 Antoniano 5 0 2 3 2:7 2
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)