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CD Badajoz vs Montijo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Alegria A.
60' Event
Sanchez A.
79' Event
Pavon A.

AI Match Summary

CD Badajoz in this Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Badajoz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
CD Badajoz
20%
Draws
34%
Montijo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Badajoz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • CD Badajoz have won more games recently than Montijo.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on CD Badajoz taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
CD Badajoz Clean Sheet 68%
Montijo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Badajoz Montijo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 19 10
Draws 6 6
Losses 4 13
Goals Scored 2.07 1.21
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Badajoz vs Montijo
2:1
Oct 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Montijo vs CD Badajoz
1:2
Mar 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Badajoz vs Montijo
1:1
Nov 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Montijo vs CD Badajoz
0:0
Apr 21, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Montijo vs CD Badajoz
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Badajoz Compare

Top Goalscorer Alegria A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pavon A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Montijo Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Badajoz 59 / 100
Montijo 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Badajoz Montijo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Badajoz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Montijo conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

CD Badajoz found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

CD Badajoz went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Badajoz VS Montijo
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.33
88% Over 1.5 83%
50% Over 2.5 33%
25% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Badajoz

(Home)
04 Oct
Sevilla B
2 : 2
CD Badajoz
27 Sept
Las Palmas B
0 : 0
CD Badajoz
20 Sept
CD Badajoz
0 : 1
Betis B
13 Sept
Xerez CD
1 : 2
CD Badajoz
06 Sept
CD Badajoz
2 : 1
Tenerife B
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Montijo

(Away)
04 Oct
Montijo
2 : 0
Jaraiz
27 Sept
Villanovense
2 : 0
Montijo
20 Sept
Montijo
3 : 1
Guadiana
13 Sept
CD Azuaga
2 : 0
Montijo
06 Sept
Montijo
1 : 3
Cabeza del Buey
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Don Benito 34 21 8 5 70:22 71
2 CD Badajoz 34 23 5 6 64:27 71
3 Moralo 34 17 11 6 54:32 62
4 CD Azuaga 34 18 8 8 53:31 62
5 Jaraiz 34 16 11 7 53:33 59
6 Cabeza del Buey 34 15 12 7 45:29 57
7 SP Villafranca 34 16 7 11 45:40 55
8 Villanovense 34 15 8 11 45:36 53
9 Montijo 34 13 7 14 43:42 46
10 Jerez CF 34 8 17 9 56:51 41
11 AD Llerenense 34 11 8 15 35:44 41
12 Puebla de la Calzada 34 9 11 14 35:48 38
13 Santa Amalia 34 9 7 18 30:52 34
14 Gevora 34 8 9 17 32:53 33
15 Pueblonuevo 34 9 6 19 29:55 33
16 CD Diocesano 34 6 12 16 33:63 30
17 Montehermoso 34 5 8 21 24:66 23
18 CD Calamonte 34 3 13 18 25:47 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 (Play Offs)