Sport Picks
CD Badajoz vs Puebla de la Calzada
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 
Match Events
2'
2'
Castilla J.
Own Goal
3'
3'
Domingo Domingo
44'
44'
Domingo Domingo
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 game between CD Badajoz and Puebla de la Calzada finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Badajoz.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
32%
/ Low Confidence
- CD Badajoz carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
CD Badajoz Clean Sheet 20%
Puebla de la Calzada Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CD Badajoz | Puebla de la Calzada |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 19 | 6 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 4 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 2.03 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.83 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.30 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 19, 2026 Club Friendly
Puebla de la Calzada vs CD Badajoz
0:2
Apr 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Badajoz vs Puebla de la Calzada
5:0
Dec 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Puebla de la Calzada vs CD Badajoz
1:1
Aug 27, 2025 Club Friendly
Puebla de la Calzada vs CD Badajoz
0:6
Mar 29, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Badajoz vs Puebla de la Calzada
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
CD Badajoz Compare
Top Goalscorer Domingo Domingo
3 Goals Assists Leader Alves T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1
Avg xA / game 0.65
Puebla de la Calzada Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CD Badajoz 36 / 100
Puebla de la Calzada 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CD Badajoz Puebla de la Calzada
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Puebla de la Calzada Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: CD Badajoz scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.
Puebla de la Calzada has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.
CD Badajoz went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
CD Badajoz VS Puebla de la Calzada
1.75 Goals Scored 1.14
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.86
88% Over 1.5 71%
50% Over 2.5 43%
25% Over 3.5 14%
Recent Form & Match History
CD Badajoz
(Home) 04 Oct
Sevilla B
2 : 2 CD Badajoz
27 Sept
Las Palmas B
0 : 0 CD Badajoz
20 Sept
CD Badajoz
0 : 1 Betis B
13 Sept
Xerez CD
1 : 2 CD Badajoz
06 Sept
CD Badajoz
2 : 1 Tenerife B
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20 Sept
CD Badajoz
0 : 1 Betis B
06 Sept
CD Badajoz
2 : 1 Tenerife B
15 Aug
CD Badajoz
1 : 1 Linares
05 Aug
CD Badajoz
0 : 3 CD Coria
14 Jun
CD Badajoz
2 : 1 CD Cuarte
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Puebla de la Calzada
(Away) 03 Oct
Pueblonuevo
0 : 0 Puebla de la Calzada
27 Sept
Puebla de la Calzada
1 : 2 Quintana
19 Sept
UP Plasencia
0 : 3 Puebla de la Calzada
13 Sept
Puebla de la Calzada
2 : 0 Castuera
06 Sept
Jerez CF
2 : 2 Puebla de la Calzada
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Pueblonuevo
0 : 0 Puebla de la Calzada
19 Sept
UP Plasencia
0 : 3 Puebla de la Calzada
06 Sept
Jerez CF
2 : 2 Puebla de la Calzada
10 May
Cabeza del Buey
1 : 0 Puebla de la Calzada
26 Apr
CD Badajoz
5 : 0 Puebla de la Calzada
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Don Benito | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 70:22 | 71 |
| 2 | CD Badajoz | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 64:27 | 71 |
| 3 | Moralo | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 54:32 | 62 |
| 4 | CD Azuaga | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 53:31 | 62 |
| 5 | Jaraiz | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 53:33 | 59 |
| 6 | Cabeza del Buey | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 45:29 | 57 |
| 7 | SP Villafranca | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 45:40 | 55 |
| 8 | Villanovense | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 45:36 | 53 |
| 9 | Montijo | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 43:42 | 46 |
| 10 | Jerez CF | 34 | 8 | 17 | 9 | 56:51 | 41 |
| 11 | AD Llerenense | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 35:44 | 41 |
| 12 | Puebla de la Calzada | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35:48 | 38 |
| 13 | Santa Amalia | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 30:52 | 34 |
| 14 | Gevora | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 32:53 | 33 |
| 15 | Pueblonuevo | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 29:55 | 33 |
| 16 | CD Diocesano | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 33:63 | 30 |
| 17 | Montehermoso | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 24:66 | 23 |
| 18 | CD Calamonte | 34 | 3 | 13 | 18 | 25:47 | 22 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
