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CD Barquereno vs Atletico Albericia

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Gutierrez H.
54' Event
Gonzalez I.
61' Event
Rincon M.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 3 game between CD Barquereno and Atletico Albericia finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico Albericia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
CD Barquereno
39%
Draws
30%
Atletico Albericia
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Atletico Albericia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Atletico Albericia here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
CD Barquereno Clean Sheet 10%
Atletico Albericia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Barquereno Atletico Albericia
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 13
Draws 6 5
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.13 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Barquereno vs Atletico Albericia
2:4
Nov 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Atletico Albericia vs CD Barquereno
1:0
May 10, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Atletico Albericia vs CD Barquereno
4:2
Jan 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Barquereno vs Atletico Albericia
1:2
Mar 14, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Barquereno vs Atletico Albericia
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Barquereno Compare

Top Goalscorer Gutierrez H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garcia J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Atletico Albericia Compare

Top Goalscorer Setien L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gonzalez I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Barquereno 30 / 100
Atletico Albericia 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Barquereno Atletico Albericia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ATL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

CD Barquereno found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Atletico Albericia has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Difficult form: Atletico Albericia registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Barquereno VS Atletico Albericia
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gimnastic de Torrelavega34265386:1583
2CD Laredo34218563:2871
3CD Tropezon34214950:2767
4Guarnizo34199647:2666
5UM Escobedo342121165:4365
6Vimenor34178947:3659
7Atletico Albericia341751261:4556
8Cayon CD341751250:4156
9Torina341581139:4053
10Bezana341381343:3847
11Castro341081644:4738
12Selaya34881832:4432
13SD Revilla34871935:6331
14CD Barquereno34862037:6430
15UC Cartes346101828:5228
16CD Colindres346101827:4728
17CD Montanas del Pas34682035:8726
18SD Noja34472322:6819