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CD Barquereno vs Gimnastic de Torrelavega

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Santovenia J.
32' Event
Garcia Hernandez H.
33' Event
Garcia Hernandez H.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 game between CD Barquereno and Gimnastic de Torrelavega finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gimnastic de Torrelavega.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
CD Barquereno
30%
Draws
47%
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gimnastic de Torrelavega

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Gimnastic de Torrelavega carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Gimnastic de Torrelavega taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 39.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
CD Barquereno Clean Sheet 10%
Gimnastic de Torrelavega Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Barquereno Gimnastic de Torrelavega
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 20
Draws 6 7
Losses 16 5
Goals Scored 1.2 2.28
Goals Conceded 1.8 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.03 1.98
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Barquereno vs Gimnastic de Torrelavega
1:5
Jan 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Gimnastic de Torrelavega vs CD Barquereno
0:1
Mar 29, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Gimnastic de Torrelavega vs CD Barquereno
0:0
Nov 3, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Barquereno vs Gimnastic de Torrelavega
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Barquereno Compare

Top Goalscorer Santovenia J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.79
Avg xA / game 0.52

Gimnastic de Torrelavega Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia Hernandez H.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Salas D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.8
Avg xA / game 1.1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Barquereno 26 / 100
Gimnastic de Torrelavega 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Barquereno Gimnastic de Torrelavega

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gimnastic de Torrelavega Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Barquereno found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Gimnastic de Torrelavega has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Gimnastic de Torrelavega let in goals in 56% of their last 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

CD Barquereno VS Gimnastic de Torrelavega
0.57 Goals Scored 2.25
1.71 Goals Conceded 1.5
57% Over 1.5 88%
43% Over 2.5 63%
29% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Barquereno

(Home)
20 Sept
Torina
3 : 0
CD Barquereno
13 Sept
CD Barquereno
0 : 1
Velarde
05 Sept
UD Samano
2 : 2
CD Barquereno
09 May
CD Barquereno
1 : 5
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
03 May
CD Revilla
1 : 1
CD Barquereno
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Gimnastic de Torrelavega

(Away)
20 Sept
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
0 : 3
Bergantinos
12 Sept
Eibar B
1 : 0
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
05 Sept
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
2 : 1
Llanera
22 Aug
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
1 : 1
Derio
19 Aug
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
0 : 2
Rayo Cantabria
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 34 26 5 3 86:15 83
2 CD Laredo 34 21 8 5 63:28 71
3 CD Tropezon 34 21 4 9 50:27 67
4 Guarnizo 34 19 9 6 47:26 66
5 UM Escobedo 34 21 2 11 65:43 65
6 Vimenor 34 17 8 9 47:36 59
7 Atletico Albericia 34 17 5 12 61:45 56
8 Cayon CD 34 17 5 12 50:41 56
9 Torina 34 15 8 11 39:40 53
10 Bezana 34 13 8 13 43:38 47
11 Castro 34 10 8 16 44:47 38
12 Selaya 34 8 8 18 32:44 32
13 CD Revilla 34 8 7 19 35:63 31
14 CD Barquereno 34 8 6 20 37:64 30
15 UC Cartes 34 6 10 18 28:52 28
16 CD Colindres 34 6 10 18 27:47 28
17 CD Montanas del Pas 34 6 8 20 35:87 26
18 SD Noja 34 4 7 23 22:68 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 (Play Offs)