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CD Barquereno vs SD Noja

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Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026
CD Barquereno Logo

CD Barquereno

2 - 0
FT
SD Noja Logo

SD Noja

Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Gutierrez H.
72' Event
Gutierrez H.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

CD Barquereno in this Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Barquereno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
CD Barquereno
35%
Draws
32%
SD Noja
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • CD Barquereno have won more games recently than SD Noja.
  • 33% — that's where the model lands on CD Barquereno taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
CD Barquereno Clean Sheet 68%
SD Noja Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Barquereno SD Noja
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 4
Draws 6 5
Losses 16 21
Goals Scored 1.2 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.73 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Barquereno vs SD Noja
2:0
Oct 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
SD Noja vs CD Barquereno
0:0
Feb 18, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
SD Noja vs CD Barquereno
4:1
Sep 25, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Barquereno vs SD Noja
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Barquereno Compare

Top Goalscorer Gutierrez H.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

SD Noja Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Barquereno 95 / 100
SD Noja 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Barquereno SD Noja

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Barquereno Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: SD Noja conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: CD Barquereno scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

SD Noja's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

CD Barquereno VS SD Noja
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 3.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Barquereno

(Home)
13 Sept
CD Barquereno
0 : 1
Velarde
05 Sept
UD Samano
2 : 2
CD Barquereno
09 May
CD Barquereno
1 : 5
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
03 May
CD Revilla
1 : 1
CD Barquereno
26 Apr
CD Barquereno
0 : 1
Guarnizo
Page 1 of 6

SD Noja

(Away)
09 May
SD Noja
2 : 2
UC Cartes
01 May
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
6 : 0
SD Noja
26 Apr
SD Noja
0 : 1
CD Revilla
18 Apr
Guarnizo
4 : 1
SD Noja
12 Apr
SD Noja
2 : 2
CD Colindres
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 34 26 5 3 86:15 83
2 CD Laredo 34 21 8 5 63:28 71
3 CD Tropezon 34 21 4 9 50:27 67
4 Guarnizo 34 19 9 6 47:26 66
5 UM Escobedo 34 21 2 11 65:43 65
6 Vimenor 34 17 8 9 47:36 59
7 Atletico Albericia 34 17 5 12 61:45 56
8 Cayon CD 34 17 5 12 50:41 56
9 Torina 34 15 8 11 39:40 53
10 Bezana 34 13 8 13 43:38 47
11 Castro 34 10 8 16 44:47 38
12 Selaya 34 8 8 18 32:44 32
13 CD Revilla 34 8 7 19 35:63 31
14 CD Barquereno 34 8 6 20 37:64 30
15 UC Cartes 34 6 10 18 28:52 28
16 CD Colindres 34 6 10 18 27:47 28
17 CD Montanas del Pas 34 6 8 20 35:87 26
18 SD Noja 34 4 7 23 22:68 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 (Play Offs)