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CD Barquereno vs SD Noja

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Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Gutierrez H.
72' Event
Gutierrez H.

AI Match Summary

CD Barquereno in this Tercera RFEF - Group 3 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Barquereno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
CD Barquereno
22%
Draws
18%
SD Noja
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: CD Barquereno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • CD Barquereno have won more games recently than SD Noja.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on CD Barquereno taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
CD Barquereno Clean Sheet 68%
SD Noja Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Barquereno SD Noja
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 4
Draws 6 5
Losses 16 21
Goals Scored 1.13 0.5
Goals Conceded 2.25 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Barquereno vs SD Noja
2:0
Oct 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
SD Noja vs CD Barquereno
0:0
Feb 18, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
SD Noja vs CD Barquereno
4:1
Sep 25, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Barquereno vs SD Noja
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Barquereno Compare

Top Goalscorer Gutierrez H.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

SD Noja Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Barquereno 68 / 100
SD Noja 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Barquereno SD Noja

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: SD Noja conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: CD Barquereno scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

SD Noja's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

CD Barquereno VS SD Noja
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Barquereno

(Home)
09 May
CD Barquereno
1 : 5
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
03 May
SD Revilla
1 : 1
CD Barquereno
26 Apr
CD Barquereno
0 : 1
Guarnizo
19 Apr
CD Colindres
3 : 0
CD Barquereno
12 Apr
CD Barquereno
2 : 2
Selaya
Page 1 of 6

SD Noja

(Away)
09 May
SD Noja
2 : 2
UC Cartes
01 May
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
6 : 0
SD Noja
26 Apr
SD Noja
0 : 1
SD Revilla
18 Apr
Guarnizo
4 : 1
SD Noja
12 Apr
SD Noja
2 : 2
CD Colindres
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gimnastic de Torrelavega34265386:1583
2CD Laredo34218563:2871
3CD Tropezon34214950:2767
4Guarnizo34199647:2666
5UM Escobedo342121165:4365
6Vimenor34178947:3659
7Atletico Albericia341751261:4556
8Cayon CD341751250:4156
9Torina341581139:4053
10Bezana341381343:3847
11Castro341081644:4738
12Selaya34881832:4432
13SD Revilla34871935:6331
14CD Barquereno34862037:6430
15UC Cartes346101828:5228
16CD Colindres346101827:4728
17CD Montanas del Pas34682035:8726
18SD Noja34472322:6819
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 (Play Offs)