Sport Picks
CD Baza vs Arenas Armilla - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 9 2009/2010 
AI Match Summary
CD Baza in this Tercera Division - Group 9 2009/2010 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Baza.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
30%
37%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Arenas Armilla
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Arenas Armilla have won more games recently than CD Baza.
- 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 9 2009/2010 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
CD Baza Clean Sheet 20%
Arenas Armilla Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CD Baza | Arenas Armilla |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 34 |
| Wins | 9 | 17 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 16 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.81 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.41 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.35 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 4, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Baza vs Arenas Armilla
1:0
Sep 6, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Arenas Armilla vs CD Baza
1:0
Feb 1, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Arenas Armilla vs CD Baza
0:0
Sep 14, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Baza vs Arenas Armilla
3:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CD Baza 32 / 100
Arenas Armilla 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CD Baza Arenas Armilla
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Arenas Armilla Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Solid form: CD Baza remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
CD Baza found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (32 games).
Arenas Armilla let in goals in 53% of their last 34 matches.
H2H data points to 1.25 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
- VS Arenas Armilla
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
CD Baza
(Home) 15 May
CD Baza
3 : 2 CD Alhaurino
08 May
El Palo
2 : 1 CD Baza
01 May
CD Baza
0 : 0 Mancha
23 Apr
Adra
0 : 3 CD Baza
17 Apr
CD Baza
2 : 0 Marbella
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15 May
CD Baza
3 : 2 CD Alhaurino
01 May
CD Baza
0 : 0 Mancha
17 Apr
CD Baza
2 : 0 Marbella
03 Apr
CD Baza
1 : 1 Maracena
20 Mar
CD Baza
0 : 1 Alhaurin
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Arenas Armilla
(Away) 04 Oct
Torre del Mar
0 : 1 Arenas Armilla
27 Sept
Arenas Armilla
3 : 3 Huetor Vega
20 Sept
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
1 : 1 Arenas Armilla
13 Sept
Arenas Armilla
1 : 0 Mancha
06 Sept
Atletico de Marbella
0 : 2 Arenas Armilla
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04 Oct
Torre del Mar
0 : 1 Arenas Armilla
20 Sept
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
1 : 1 Arenas Armilla
06 Sept
Atletico de Marbella
0 : 2 Arenas Armilla
20 Jun
Pena Deportiva
5 : 2 Arenas Armilla
07 Jun
Motril
1 : 1 Arenas Armilla
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mancha | 36 | 20 | 8 | 8 | 53:26 | 68 |
| 2 | Motril | 36 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 54:24 | 66 |
| 3 | El Palo | 36 | 19 | 6 | 11 | 59:44 | 63 |
| 4 | Almeria B | 36 | 17 | 10 | 9 | 62:37 | 61 |
| 5 | CD Ronda | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 64:51 | 60 |
| 6 | Malaga B | 36 | 16 | 11 | 9 | 56:44 | 59 |
| 7 | Comarca | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 52:34 | 57 |
| 8 | Ciudad de Vicar | 36 | 13 | 14 | 9 | 52:48 | 53 |
| 9 | Loja | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 42:40 | 49 |
| 10 | Antequera | 36 | 11 | 14 | 11 | 43:38 | 47 |
| 11 | Velez | 36 | 14 | 5 | 17 | 50:52 | 47 |
| 12 | CD Alhaurino | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 53:54 | 45 |
| 13 | Adra | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 47:59 | 45 |
| 14 | Santa Fe | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40:55 | 41 |
| 15 | UD Carboneras | 36 | 10 | 8 | 18 | 43:63 | 38 |
| 16 | Huetor Tajar | 36 | 11 | 5 | 20 | 44:67 | 38 |
| 17 | CD Baza | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 36:54 | 37 |
| 18 | Arenas Armilla | 36 | 9 | 8 | 19 | 33:63 | 35 |
| 19 | Ejido 2 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 21:22 | 24 |
| 20 | Vera CD | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 17:46 | 10 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)
