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CD Baza vs Malaga B

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 9 2009/2010
CD Baza Logo

CD Baza

1 - 1
FT
Malaga B Logo

Malaga B

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 9 2009/2010 game between CD Baza and Malaga B finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
CD Baza
20%
Draws
33%
Malaga B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Baza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Malaga B come out ahead of CD Baza on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans CD Baza's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 9 2009/2010 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
CD Baza Clean Sheet 20%
Malaga B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Baza Malaga B
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 8 11
Draws 6 5
Losses 16 21
Goals Scored 0.83 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Baza vs Malaga B
0:1
Oct 12, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Malaga B vs CD Baza
1:0
Jan 31, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Baza vs Malaga B
1:1
Sep 24, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Malaga B vs CD Baza
2:0
Apr 12, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Baza vs Malaga B
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Baza 67 / 100
Malaga B 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Baza Malaga B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Baza Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Malaga B conceded in 86% of 37 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: CD Baza stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

CD Baza's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Malaga B
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Baza

(Home)
15 May
CD Baza
3 : 2
CD Alhaurino
08 May
El Palo
2 : 1
CD Baza
01 May
CD Baza
0 : 0
Mancha
23 Apr
Adra
0 : 3
CD Baza
17 Apr
CD Baza
2 : 0
Marbella
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Malaga B

(Away)
03 May
Malaga B
3 : 3
Melilla
26 Apr
Puente Genil
2 : 1
Malaga B
18 Apr
Malaga B
3 : 2
Antoniano
12 Apr
UCAM Murcia
4 : 0
Malaga B
04 Apr
Malaga B
2 : 1
Jaen
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mancha 36 20 8 8 53:26 68
2 Motril 36 18 12 6 54:24 66
3 El Palo 36 19 6 11 59:44 63
4 Almeria B 36 17 10 9 62:37 61
5 CD Ronda 36 17 9 10 64:51 60
6 Malaga B 36 16 11 9 56:44 59
7 Comarca 36 17 6 13 52:34 57
8 Ciudad de Vicar 36 13 14 9 52:48 53
9 Loja 36 13 10 13 42:40 49
10 Antequera 36 11 14 11 43:38 47
11 Velez 36 14 5 17 50:52 47
12 CD Alhaurino 36 12 9 15 53:54 45
13 Adra 36 12 9 15 47:59 45
14 Santa Fe 36 11 8 17 40:55 41
15 UD Carboneras 36 10 8 18 43:63 38
16 Huetor Tajar 36 11 5 20 44:67 38
17 CD Baza 36 9 10 17 36:54 37
18 Arenas Armilla 36 9 8 19 33:63 35
19 Ejido 2 19 7 3 9 21:22 24
20 Vera CD 19 1 7 11 17:46 10
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)