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Stadium Background

CD Baztan vs Pena

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 15 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pena in this Tercera Division - Group 15 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
CD Baztan
35%
Draws
32%
Pena
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pena lately — more wins on the board than CD Baztan.
  • Win probability leans CD Baztan's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 15 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
CD Baztan Clean Sheet 19%
Pena Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Baztan Pena
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 6 20
Draws 13 8
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 0.94 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.12
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Baztan vs Pena
2:3
Nov 28, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pena vs CD Baztan
2:0
May 10, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Baztan vs Pena
0:0
Jan 4, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pena vs CD Baztan
4:2
Apr 27, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Baztan vs Pena
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Baztan 36 / 100
Pena 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Baztan Pena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Baztan's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Pena has conceded goals in 73% of their last 33 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: CD Baztan remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Pena
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Baztan

(Home)
09 Oct
CD Baztan
1 : 2
Ontinena
26 Jun
CD Baztan
1 : 1
CD River Ega
18 Jun
CD Beti Onak
1 : 1
CD Baztan
12 Jun
CD Baztan
0 : 0
CD Corellano
04 Jun
Txantrea
0 : 1
CD Baztan
Page 1 of 7

Pena

(Away)
12 Sept
CE Manresa
2 : 0
Pena
06 Sept
Pena
1 : 1
Utebo FC
25 Aug
Erriberri
0 : 3
Pena
18 Aug
Mutilvera
1 : 1
Pena
11 Aug
AD San Juan
1 : 1
Pena
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AD San Juan 20 9 8 3 21:9 35
2 Beti Kozkor 20 9 6 5 23:18 33
3 Valle Egues 20 9 5 6 31:23 32
4 Huarte 20 7 9 4 29:23 30
5 Pamplona 20 8 6 6 28:18 30
6 Burlades 20 7 5 8 22:30 26
7 CD Beti Onak 20 5 9 6 26:25 24
8 CD Corellano 20 6 6 8 24:29 24
9 Txantrea 20 5 8 7 23:29 23
10 Subiza 20 4 9 7 25:28 21
11 CD River Ega 20 3 5 12 23:43 14
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 15 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 15 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 15 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pena 20 14 5 1 32:14 47
2 Cirbonero 20 8 8 4 35:21 32
3 CD Ardoi 20 8 8 4 26:15 32
4 CD Cantolagua 20 8 7 5 28:19 31
5 Cortes 20 7 7 6 18:21 28
6 Murchante 20 5 9 6 19:19 24
7 Pena Azagresa 20 7 3 10 24:33 24
8 CD Baztan 20 4 8 8 19:27 20
9 CD Fontellas 20 6 2 12 18:37 20
10 CD Lourdes 20 4 7 9 18:26 19
11 Bidezarra 20 5 4 11 18:23 19
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 15 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 15 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 15 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)